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high risk

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  1. high risk
    Definitely thunder. We had a severe thunderstorm watch that afternoon.
  2. high risk
    I lost track trying to count the number of incorrect details in this post.
  3. high risk
    While it's a bit unclear how much precip will linger immediately behind the front (for a brief period of sleet or snow early Christmas morning in the DC metro area), there may be more hope for a period of snow showers during Christmas Day as the upper trough axis swings through, and low-level lapse rates steepen. There is a very weak signal in the NAM nest, but there is a smack-you-in-the-face-with-a-small-snowball signal in the 18z HRRR.
  4. high risk
    00z NAM continues to show a deformation band of snow across the area Saturday.
  5. high risk
    You left out the next panel in which it basically wipes out that line as it moves into the metro area..... That said, the HRRR has the same feature, and it keeps it going further east, but the HRRR is warmer in the low levels and keeps it as rain for the metro area.
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