osfan24
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Everything posted by osfan24
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Bernie Rayno called it.
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We have quite the showdown. Seems like GFS is off on its own island, but maybe it scores a coup. Guess it's on to the 18z runs!
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Lock that in! Near bullseye at my house.
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Maybe I used the wrong choice of words. My main point more than anything was that you can always tell whether the overnight runs were really good or not based on how many additional pages of the thread there are when you wake up.
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I'll take small storms but when you've been in the snow wilderness for six years and you have a ripe pattern and signs of potential big storm and then it looks like it might not happen, I'm not going to be thrilled.
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Well sure, but you realllly don't want to waste great patterns.
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I figured overnight runs were not great when I saw how few additional posts there were. Good thing we still have a week to go!
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Low is ridiculously strong but the heavy snow isn’t very extensive and it looks like it heads too far east again.
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Watching DT's video now. He mentioned that the GEFS was upgraded, FWIW. He seems quite excited about the pattern.
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Bernie Rayno seems convinced it's going negatively tilted far sooner and cutting.
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Yeah, I was surprised no one was alarmed by the GEFS. But maybe it's cause it's still many days away? Definitely too east for my liking.
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San Diego went from 10 degrees to 95.
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Looks like the second storm on Boxing Day vanished this run.
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Fringed! Didn't love the way that evolved, but it'll change in six hours. Just glad it's still showing the significant storm idea.
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LOL well that's a new solution.
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Looks way west to my untrained eye.
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Yeah, looks like it may drop in farther west this run, which would be good news.
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I just think back to how they cashed in on all three big storms in 2009-2010 like we did but they also can sometimes get clipped by bigger storms that whiff us. But generally, our storms are their storms and vice versa. Same with NYC for the most part, except for when they get a Boxing Day type deal where the shield is right on the coast, and I think one of the big 2009-2010 storms missed them just to the south. Boston is a whole different story.
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2 AND 3? Ohhh baby.
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I like it. The Euro and GFS have the same ideas. At Day 8, that's all we can ask for. Let's see if we can get some consistency going with the storm idea and then hone in on the details come Sunday/Monday.
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We are fringed but whatever. The idea is there. Those are minor details. The pattern screams big one.
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Just a pretty glaze of ice on the trees here and maybe an icy sidewalk. Looking forward to moving onto the storm late next week.
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18z GFS is pretty much a total swing and miss on the arctic front/pre-Christmas storm idea.
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There's actually a few bombs in there. E20 looks amazing. I wouldn't toss E40 out of bed with me. And then there are a few more solid hits after that.
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No doubt. That was the storm that got me interested in storms. I was only 12 at the time so it was going to be my first huge snowstorm. The drifts were legit and it kinda changed snow removal in the Baltimore area. After that storm, major investments were made in bigger plow trucks to handle storms like that in the future. But I know 2016 has it beat. And possibly the first 2010 storm. It was probably pretty comparable to 2003.
