osfan24

Some very interesting storms in there, especially toward the top. Surprised 1/23/16 was a close match and that we didn't see January 2011 in there. 2/13/14 was in there, but I remember that having a very cold airmass ahead of it. The surprise January 2000 storm is in there. And then, I don't remember it somehow, but the 2006 storm is in there, and from what people have described about it, that seems like more of a match from an air mass standpoint.

Who's gonna dare start the thread?

It's definitely better. A long way to go but certainly enough of a step in the right direction to march forward to 18z.

Need that negative tilt. That's just too positive.

Perhaps models beginning to meet in the middle.

Definitely reminds me of January 2011. Would be funny in this winter if we got something out of this given how terrible the setup us with temperatures, but I'm not holding my breath. I'm sure the GFS is right this time, lol!

We can't get it cold enough to snow in January and February with perfect track storms but I'm sure April we could see some snow, lol.

BWI barely avoids going down in infamy. Cut it close there. Curious what some parts of Southern MD received. Seemed like the moisture kinda went with the 0z GFS idea and focused the bulk of the precip down there. Euro was out to lunch.

That stinks. I was afraid most of the precip was gonna slide south like the GFS showed and that’s close to what happened. I got a light dusting. Maybe 1/4 inch or so?

Radar looks kinda meh to me considering how bullish some of the models have been in their recent runs, though the latest GFS went south and more matches what the radar extrapolated would look like to me.

Weird how the Euro is juicing up so much all of the sudden.

Ravensfan fringed, not pummelled.

It's bizarre. This isn't even a "this winter sucks in Maryland." This is a "this winter has been a disaster for basically the entire east coast, and maybe even eastern 1/3 of the country, outside of lake effect." Like how is it possible there is literally no snow on the backside of those low pressures?

What are people even tracking?

Certainly more wintry than what I expected here. On the board with a trace for the second time this year. Little light snow switched over to a snow/sleet/rain mix. Mostly just rain now.

There is a strange, white substance falling from above. Second time I've seen flakes this winter.

Now we are out to February 6. Give it a few more days and we will be talking about mid-February.

Which to me, is likely what the models are trying to tell us. I know some keep saying that there will be cold air, but it seems like there will be cold air until a storm pops and then the SER flexes its muscle and we get rain and then it dries out and it relaxes and the cold returns and on and on we go.

Gotta have that leading edge of the snow down in southwest Virginia to have a shot, not southwest PA.

This was always on the early side for anything frozen for most of us. It's the storm after this that had some kind of chance.

It's almost like there is an unchanging theme this winter........... I do think jayyy and others out west should keep an eye on Sunday. They have a chance with that one.

Just super skeptical. Obviously gotten shafted since the 2016 blizzard, but we are in a Nina, had the hype for December that failed, and then have had a number of looks at the 7-10 day range that just fail to materialize. If something legit gets to within 4-5 days, I'll start letting myself get a bit invested but it just seems like insanity buying into any of this when the same thing keeps happening over and over again. I've done it to myself too many times and have learned my lesson. And I don't want to turn into those posters who are on the verge of absolutely losing their marbles over snow. Doesn't mean I am not rooting for everyone to cash in. That would be great.

I'm far past that. I reached acceptance when December failed miserably. I'm here because I like seeing what PSU concludes could be going on with our struggles and sadly get some amusement at everyone getting their hopes of every time something shows up at the 10-day mark only for it to vanish as it gets closer in time. It's like clockwork.

I know it is over a week away, but one inch on the ensemble is not exciting in the heart of winter.

Yeah, this looks like 2/3 is a complete swing and miss for almost all of us.