osfan24
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Everything posted by osfan24
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GFS and even CMC look pretty good for the post-front stuff, but accumulation is basically non-existent.
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Not seeing what others are. HRRR looks like it is holding steady with the snow NW of Moco/Hoco.
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Not surprising, but still disappointing. What a garbage model. Awful on this storm.
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That one really blew up for the northeast folks. Your location really helped with that one. Down this way, it was like a 6-8 inch storm. It was fun and snowed like crazy for 3-4 hours, but then it was over.
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Merry Christmas, Ji! Here's some coal in your stocking!
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Tony Pann makes Justin Berk blush these days.
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Why not just post the NAM from the day before the January 2016 storm?
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2 out of 30 is interesting? I count 20 virtual complete whiffs.
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Would it matter? Could have a -NAO, -AO, +PNA and it would find a way not to snow.
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The GFS isn't really even a big storm for anyone anymore.
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No NAM extrapolations? I guess the towel has been thrown.
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Not yet, but probably just a few days away from cancelling all of December.
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Welp, that should just about do it.
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Hope the GEFS is real. I would lock that up right now.
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For sure. Still plenty of time for things to change or swing back the other way.
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It was pretty obvious fairly on in the run that it was digging way too far west.
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Bernie Rayno called it.
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We have quite the showdown. Seems like GFS is off on its own island, but maybe it scores a coup. Guess it's on to the 18z runs!
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Lock that in! Near bullseye at my house.
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Maybe I used the wrong choice of words. My main point more than anything was that you can always tell whether the overnight runs were really good or not based on how many additional pages of the thread there are when you wake up.
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I'll take small storms but when you've been in the snow wilderness for six years and you have a ripe pattern and signs of potential big storm and then it looks like it might not happen, I'm not going to be thrilled.
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Well sure, but you realllly don't want to waste great patterns.
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I figured overnight runs were not great when I saw how few additional posts there were. Good thing we still have a week to go!
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Low is ridiculously strong but the heavy snow isn’t very extensive and it looks like it heads too far east again.
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Watching DT's video now. He mentioned that the GEFS was upgraded, FWIW. He seems quite excited about the pattern.
