osfan24

I believe my whining brought it back so

Wow, I think if BWI could have reached a foot or so, it would have been a top 20-25 snowstorm all time there.

I thought about going back out to shovel more sleet after the game but if it’s freezing mist, I’ll just clean it up tomorrow.

Ehh maybe. Long range thread is quiet. Next weekend threat has pretty much disappeared. We can’t ever seem to get big qpf and we finally do and we waste it. Can’t squander the few opportunities we get.

Why? To be even more depressed?

Meh, hard to get excited about 360 hours away…..again. We just keep punting to good patterns down the road and striking out. I want to hit next weekend. That’s what everyone was hyping as the big window.

I thought we had something like that in either 2014 or 2015.

Snow/sleet. Sadness.

Seeing bigger flakes now. Probably a bad sign.

8 plus looks like a great bet here now!

Imagine if the NAM ends up being right. Loved that 18z suite. All the globals give us 8-10 plus.

Ehh, showed 8 inches for Central MD a couple runs ago so that looks worse flip is delayed a few hours at least.

My thought was we just get extra snow breaking out ahead and the flip time doesn’t change.

Weenie alert, but it would be huge if we could get the snow in here this evening instead of after midnight. The delay in this storm definitely hurt us getting to those bigger totals.

The discounting of the NAM is wild to me. I have seen it nail this kind of situation so many times before. This is where it thrives. I’d rather look at the NAM than the garbage GFS.

I don’t think 6 plus is out of the question for you yet at all. Now, it will probably get compacted down quite a bit. I agree this weekend is disappointing after some of the earlier hopes but we still have half of winter to go. Im hopeful we get a big, clean storm finally.

If radar is any indication at the moment, Nashville seems almost guaranteed to overperform in the snow department and it’s wild to think, given the current trajectory, that the mix line would end up anywhere near us.

If the NAM beats the GFS on this, can we switch which one is being decommissioned?

NAM is definitely a warning sign with midlevel warming but nothing to panic over yet. If its similar tomorrow, then it’s a red flag and might be doing its usual thing of sniffing that out better than other models.

Seems like a hold then. Sleet line is just southeast of my location which is exactly like it was at 12z.

I was thinking that as well. Kinda stuck between a rock and a hard place with this one. Get the thump but go quicker to mix. Less amped is colder but lose the precip.

Right, kinda reminded me of the GFS run actually.

Seems like most seem to have this general idea.

Just wait until DT’s map comes out. Going to proactively take some Tylenol.

I was at UMCP at the time and don't even remember that one, which is weird. Just looked at an accumulation map for that one and it does look like CP got shafted, which wasn’t unusual. Temps always seemed to run warm there to me. I may vaguely remember this one now. I think it was a really heavy, wet snow that we probably got about eight inches out of but probably got less on paved surfaces and melted very quickly. Just surprised Baltimore got hit so hard and I don’t remember being disappointed I missed out. I guess I had other things on my mind at the time.