jbenedet
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Everything posted by jbenedet
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Local air conditioning businesses booming...
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Thinking more on this - I wonder how many of those streaks came with days of <60F dews and <65F night time temps. My guess is most, if not all. If you'd don't catch my drift, I'd gladly take that 2002 90F streak, vs today's. Today's morning low....76!
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10 day record is def doable here. I'm seeing the weekend with 90's on the global ops as well. We will def need some luck on timing for showers Thurs/Friday. That's the risk... The 6z euro op gives us that luck though... If we get that, could pull this out through next Tuesday before ending the streak...
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6z euro has me hitting 90+ Wed, thurs, and Friday as well. 8 day streak 90+...? Would think that's a record in these pahts.
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5th day of 90+ air temp in a row. Heat Index already hit 100. Did it with the clouds too.
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Novel idea: grab yourself a reliable thermometer and drive 15 miles to DAW.
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Heat index hit 99 at DAW. Last 4 days heat index: 99 96 102 99 It’s not all dews either. Each day air temp was at or above 90. Average high is 80. And tomorrow, heat index will exceed 100 and air temp >90.
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Last thing I would do is reference the growing zones to track this warming. November warmth hasn't helped us, as sun angle is prohibitive by November 13th or so. That's latitude dependent. And our climate has been most "normal" in early to mid spring, which means the frosts are common through end of april. We've warmed up a lot, but I'm still gardening like a New Englander...
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This is how it things are trending climate wise imby. It’s an ugly combination for sure; -New Jersey climo November - mid March -Southern New England Climo late March to May -Far interior sections of southeast climo: June to October
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Can see a CDO wrapping around the center of circulation and losing the pocketed/banded/feathered look it had all day. Expecting a big improvement in structural appearance over next few hours. -
Beryl is forecasted only 12 hours over the Yucatán which—to begin with— historically isn’t inhospitable to tropical cyclones. Atmospheric conditions are also tilted to favorable at that time. If core is anything like today, upon landfall, I believe odds strongly favor hurricane status vs tropical storm upon entry into the GOM.
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Clouds will be problematic despite the occasional breaks. The breaks, in part, will lead to more clouds..then break…rinse repeat..I was in full sun up until a half hour ago. Now mostly cloudy. The real sky clearing line looks like it’s in Berks/VT
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Every model has clouds sticking around in eastern sections. Caps the t-storm threat to strong to isolated severe. Gotta be west of 395 I think to get good clearing chances. The clouds were my high probability bet when I paid up for sox tickets. Not going if I’m going to cook in full sun and a soup airmass…
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Who’s down in Great Bay area?That cell missed me to the south by like 3miles.
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Man that southern cell when it gets toward coastal plain should be really interesting. No mountain disruptions on the Great Bay….
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Yea this looks like a good show incoming. buckle up. Been a year for severe. Not expecting a fizzle upon closest approach.
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The natural disaster risk that has increased the most around here in recent years is fresh water flooding. That’s something worth worrying about… Forget the tornado, worry about the rain that’s coming with the spin-up.
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On vis satellite the structure of the cell heading for Manchester appears to be improving…Getting those overshoots into the stratosphere.
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I get what you mean by crisp. Agree on that. We’ll have to see if the structure improves as the they isolate from the inflow/outflow of the competing cells/line further north.
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Invest 92L in SW Atlantic reached SE US Fri
jbenedet replied to GaWx's topic in Tropical Headquarters
closed LLC is not the limiting factor - it's dry air. We have the low level vorticity to work with, for sure. But we don't classify naked swirls for a reason....So from NHC standpoint - challenge is to see that this thing can maintain convection over the LLC to promote positive feedback and cause minimal TS conditions at the warned areas upon landfall... -
Temperatures that make you wish for rain. A special kind of unbearable out there... This is the worst back to back days of heat I've experienced in my lifetime. Heat Index hit 110 yesterday and it looks like it will do it again today. Just in awe at this point, honestly...
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It honestly limits your range of activities as much as the worst weather in winter. The dogs are just as unhappy.
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No. And No. I like summer heat but heat index > 100 is you just want to stay inside or in the pool. Everything else is off limits. Heat index 110 is just brutal. You hunker down inside. Yesterday was first time I felt shortness of breath at times just on short walks and even on the motorcycle. You could absolutely feel the lower oxygen content in the air. None of this is enjoyable.
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Alright a heat index record. Nice to have the reference when it's the dews tacking on another 15 F in real feel
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That's not pretty dewy. It's just straight up tropical. Our dews are tracking Miami Florida.
