Chris78
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Everything posted by Chris78
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Looks like 3.75" here in Smithsburg. A few miles from the M/D. This looked impossible 48 hours ago.
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I'm just under 3.5. Flake Size increase over the last 5 minutes. Hoping to make it to 4" . Looks like maybe another hour to accumulate?
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I'm sure they had a 2 hour head start above 1500 ft
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Nice! The mesos had your area in the 6"+ range last night and my area in the 3 to 5 range. Looks like they did a pretty good job. Atleast in our areas.
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Seeing reports of 6" + in the higher elevations close to us.
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What are you up to now? I just measures 3" on the west side of the Catoctins
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2024 Valentines Day Who the Hell Knows - Comeback Thread
Chris78 replied to DDweatherman's topic in Mid Atlantic
I believe it. That's about 1500 ft in elevation. I'm in Smithsburg at about 750' . Just measured 3" -
2024 Valentines Day Who the Hell Knows - Comeback Thread
Chris78 replied to DDweatherman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Yes it is. When it was over Washington County it was real rippage probably close to 2" per hour rates. Even behind that band it's moderate snow and still piling up nicely. Places to the East should have several more hours of snow when you flip. -
2024 Valentines Day Who the Hell Knows - Comeback Thread
Chris78 replied to DDweatherman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Heavy snow 32 degrees in Smithsburg. Estimating maybe a little less than an inch so far. Stickage on everything including roads -
2024 Valentines Day Who the Hell Knows - Comeback Thread
Chris78 replied to DDweatherman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Yes definitely less precip. Compare the latest run with the 18z. Big drop off with qpf -
No. That's why I said if that happens. But we've already had this happen multiple times over the couple years so who knows.
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Shit. Just checked all 3 ensembles and all show what looks to be a full latitude ridge connecting up into the Nao domain towards the end of February. If that happens I guess it's definitely ovah.
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That's it. Kick her out
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Your slipping. How did that sprite slip in there lol.
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Lol. We suck. Seriously though the temps on the gfs later on in runs has been pretty crappy for a while now. Kind of feeling like we may be just about done with winter.
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2024 Valentines Day Who the Hell Knows - Comeback Thread
Chris78 replied to DDweatherman's topic in Mid Atlantic
If I drive 20 Miles se theres nothing. 20 miles nw there's a foot. Wow -
They have a chance. For northern areas that shipped has probably sailed.
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If winter ends now it's an F- in my book. About 40% for my average seasonal snow fall. And worse than that in an nino. basically 1 week of winter lol.
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What's your thoughts on PD weekend? Looks like precip may come further north now. What do we need to see happen so it's cold enough other than a miracle lol.
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- weenie fest or weenie roast?
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I don't think the next few weeks are going to be simple SS waves coming a cross. Alot of NS waves passing to the north. I think if that Northern stream would of gotten out of the way a little quicker and allowed the colder air to come east it could of been a snowier solution. But maybe it would of shunted everything east. Who knows but it won't matter in 6 hours as it will look different.
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General idea though as 00z Storm is still there just weaker and souther.
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Perfect track Miller A rainstorm lol. It is really close though. Mid 30s Sunday afternoon and 850s around the PA border
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- weenie fest or weenie roast?
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2024 Valentines Day Who the Hell Knows - Comeback Thread
Chris78 replied to DDweatherman's topic in Mid Atlantic
And I had just replied to you with a little bit of sarcastic humor about looking forward to our Pd 3 fail lol. Getting a little chippy in here. We need snow stat