Chris78
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Everything posted by Chris78
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I agree. At this point I dont see the low getting further south and east where we would prefer it. Lets hope the cold maintains in future runs and we can get a decent slug of moisture in Saturday Am.
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Only a handful of shut outs but not many that give more than 3" across the area. Looks like pretty unanimous agreement on a 1 -3" snow prior to any changeover.
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Icon doesnt show sleet/ice on tt. If you look at temps it keeps dc below freezing through 00z Sunday. Would be quite the ice storm verbatim for the north west burbs.
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More ridging in the midwest.
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Ride the hot hand. Let Holtby sit for a while. Gonna need Holtby in the spring. Maybe like in 2018 when Grubauer carried the load down the stretch.
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@nj2va @Scraff @nw baltimore wx Great game for the caps tonight against a solid canes team.
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Weenie overload ?
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Lets hope the army of highs across Canada will help guide the low a bit more south. The 1041 mb high is in a great spot for CAD. Alot to like in that panel. Im really surprised we dont see winter weather further southwest down the lee side of the apps into the carolinas.
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I agree. @losetoa6As long as we get a nice slug of moisture . My concern would be the leaf of overrunning goes up into PA and we dont get the good stuff.
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Is that an improvement over 06z?
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Wow! Wtf
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Then make a 4th screen for the Dgex model. That model always showed a blizzard for us lol.
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You may need to split the screen 3 ways. Come on ravens.
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@nj2va@Scraff @nw baltimore wx Caps laying a terd tonight against a weaker team. Hope they wake up soon.
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Yep. The transfer part is lol but I like the fact it comes in Friday evening fast and hard. The overrunning part is a real nice thump.
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One trend on all guidance is too speed up next weekends storm. 12z cmc has a nice thump beginning on Friday evening. Most models a few days ago had it for Sunday. I dont think its a bad thing to get it here sooner .
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I agree that the GFS is most likely too cold for next weekend and has a known bias for that. I would also add that the GEFS has a better moisture surge when comparing to the 00z run and gets precip in much quicker. Also has a real nice CAD profile on the 2m temps. I atached the last 2 runs of 24 hr qpf and the 2m temp anomalies. With the GFS cold bias we need a real good buffer in temps this far out lol.
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Verbatim next Saturday is a legit winter storm. Several hours of snow to several hours of sleet to ZR. By 7pm Saturday temps go above freezing for Dca points south and east but about an inch of QPF has fallen. Temps still in the 20's north and west.
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06 GFS gets precip in atleast 6 hours earlier next weekend and has it snowing by sun up in Saturday. Cold temps too at the start.
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How does the individual GEFS member look for next weekend?
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Love the look on the GFS for next weekend. Been consistant now for showing winter weather for a few runs. The Fantasy snow 300+ hours out is fun to look at but a few more days and we can start taking next weekend more seriously.
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Weenie run of the season I'd say.
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Long range OP and all, but verbatim thats several inches of snow followed by several hours of icing then dry slot. Sign me up please.
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Gfs gets us back into winter weather as early as next weekend. I really like seeing all of canada very cold. Really nice CAD going on. Ninja'd by @C.A.P.E. I type to slow lol
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I know its real tight. They had to trade stephenson a coulple months ago because they were in salary cap hell.
