Chris78

29 in Smithsburg. Light snow .50 so far

Any snow to start?

I have the up most respect for what the professionals do. I do think LWX might a little low with most guidance pointing to a .3 to .6 qpf snow event. Especially in Northern MD. I agree with you. It seems we do better whem LWX is playing catch up and adjusting upward as the event nears.

The Euro is by itself when it comes to QPF. Maybe it will steal a coup but every other model has much more juice than its currently showing. Taking a blend of all guidance is probably the best approach imho.

North trend for rd 2. Let's do This!

We need a north shift then south shift then another south shift for Tuesday. Make it happen!

Thank God for JI's tantrums lol.

Nice to see Icon still on the snow train for the weekend. Looks like a 2 to 4" deal with higher amounts close to the M/D line

Was just going to post this. Major ice storm for areas N+W of DC Edit - as is a crippling ice storm for the 81 corridor.

We may need to start hoping things start north of us so after the eventual south trend we are in good shape lol.

Lol. Wasn't sure if you were talking about the weekend or Tuesday / Wednesday. Icon would be one hell of an 10 day stretch of winter . Thursday/Friday, then weekend snow and then a crippling ice storm on Tuesday.

For when? Too many threats lol. That's a good problem to have.

Has snow into DC metro by 5-6 pm

I think that's a really good map. If you take the consensus from all the models that looks pretty spot on I think.

And the Euro needs to stop bleeding south . I'm down to under .40 on the Euro for the 36 hour time frame lol.

I like both of your calls was thinking something similiar. 3 to 6 along the M/D line 5 to 10 along the normal Howard/Carroll/ Montgomery county deathband. 3 to 6 for DC metro. .1 for DCA.

GFS setting up something big in about a week? Nice SS vort getting ready to eject out the the SW.

DC would double their seasonal total.

Wow at the GFS. Solid event for DC and Balt.

Lol. I'd call that a signal.

I like your thinking

I'm about 5 miles from the PA border and I like where the Euro is at the moment. The GFS is about 2 north ticks away from screwing most of The DMV. The euro gives everyone wiggle room with thermals. Sunday's storm was a big north shift at 72 hours out. We just didint get the shift we were looking for 24 hours out. The north shift is real and I like having that wiggle room the Euro gives us. In past experience these overrunning events can bleed north closing in on game time. We've got a nice mix on guidance with slightly south, flush hits , and slightly north. Puts us directly in the cross hairs.

Come on man lol

2/7 - 2.5" Seasonal total - 29.0"

Finished with 2.5" in Smithsburg