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Chris78

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Everything posted by Chris78

  1. Got this from another subforum. Im assuming this is the best the GEFS has looked in a while for the weekend.
  2. This. Ill take my chances with 34 degrees and heavier precip.
  3. Gfs brings down a ns vort down the back side of the trough and gets a second low going right behind the initial low lol
  4. Im definitely not giving up. So many moving pieces. Especially the northern stream
  5. That 4 day span may change alot of opinions on this winter. We'll except for @Ji
  6. Starts Thursday afternoon and doesnt wrap up till early Saturday morning. Seems plausible lol
  7. Gfs says if next weekend doesn't work wait a few more days......
  8. Well then that's even better. Lets lock it up and call it a day. Ill push all my chips in for a region wide 3 to 6" event.
  9. Looks like early enough phasing and we get some deform love. Oh and its the ggem lol
  10. If we get into the heavier precip with a GFS track that would be a shallacking. A little bit of an earlier phase would draw heavier precip further west. You can see the northern stream vort about 6 hours late to the party.
  11. Getting this sped up imo will make a big difference. The airmass wouldnt be as stale if it came in Friday night instead of late Saturday. A few days ago this looked like a late friday/saturday event. Holefully we can get back to that.
  12. Bob Chill storm was the Wednesday wave that washes out
  13. Really good agreement on the models there will be a strong storm somewhere in the east next weekend.Really wish we had a better air mass leading into it.
  14. For our i 81 area 50 to 75 miles east would be perfect but I aint complaining. Love that both the euro and GFS have qpf bombs
  15. Cmc has the Wednesdsy/Thursday system a bit stronger. Still slides it south of us but you can see how it could deliver for us .
  16. Theres alot going on and we dont do complicated well. But i don't buy everything suppressed.
  17. Wheres our map from the GEFS with probabilities of more than 3 inches?
  18. Icon with a miller A coming out of the gulf at the end of its run. Snowing into NC.
  19. Cmc must be right with all of its updates this week lol.
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