I like the snow on top of snow the gfs has for Christmas and then 2 days later.
We do snow on top of snow so we'll around these parts lol.
In all seriousness though the gfs seems to be shifting the storm track south with the blocking setting up.
Nice to see some chances showing up in the 8 to 10 day range.
I believe the gfs was showing a 3 or 4 day event with insane snow totals.
I don't think it got inside of 5 days though on the models, but it was on there for several days out in fantasy Land if I remember correctly.
6z kind of shows this in the 8 to 10 day time frame.
Doesn't get the job done but you could see a scenario with a bit of stronger push from the north where a overrunning event could happen. Currently depicted the run has some snow up in PA.
The Euro isn't what it used to be. I think the gfs has really closed the gap. No science behind the statement, just going off of model watching.
I will say though the Gfs has trended towards the Euro the last several runs and looks like weak sauce.
I was hoping there would be more hits on the eps but It wasn't awful.
Most models give a modest stripe of snow through the area.
More NW less SE except for the Canadian that is better further south.
5 days out I'm happy to be able to be tracking something on the 3rd day of December.
Temps are warm on Monday but Tuesdays highs are in the mid 30s to lower 40s north to south and by midnight most of the area is at or below freezing per the Euro.
I'm sure the GFS is right though lol.
Always go with the warmest and least snowiest model and you'll be right 90% of the time.