Chris78
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Everything posted by Chris78
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Glad the southern part of the forum got a great storm today! I know it's been a while. Hopefully the next is more region wide. I always feel a little guilty posting snow obs while other areas are 35 and rain. Definitely helps being at the M/D line with about 750' in elevation.
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Yes! I'm ready to get on the board this year.
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I hope so
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Awesome pic. Glad for everyone in the southern part of the subforum. that is cashing in today. I know it's been a rough few years in the southern areas. Hopefully we can get a region wide event later this week.
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A few lonely flurries on the drive from Smithsburg to Thurmont this morning.
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I'm hoping for 2 inches up here at the m/d line. Could see our area getting nothing but also could see how we could get a boom scenario.
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Not sure I've ever seen a gradient quite that Sharp. Frederick is basically nothing. Head down 270 about 15 mile and your pushing double digits. Just crazy
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Last night's rain was included in the 00z run. 12z is much better for Northern md
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I'd take anything at this point. My guess is I'm way to far NW to see anything from the Monday system.
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Not saying your wrong at all but I would say if the cold push isn't as strong then we could see it trend north. I know you know this but the cold push always seems weaker than modeled but we're getting kind of late in the game now for that. My guess is it doesn't trend apprcreiably north to effect areas from DC north but who knows.
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Always go with the model with the least amount of snow. I believe that's your rule right?
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The rgem is always a decent hit The Rgem is hitting something that's for sure
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Looks like everything else now
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Lol. The Rgem was a nice step in the right direction comparing it to its 18z run
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What did 12z look like at the same time stamp?
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Nice look at h5. Nudge it north a little and we're in business
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H5 has been improving on the gfs with each run today. Wish the euro would get on board
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Nice look on the GFS
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Looking at the 24 hr precip panels you can see the second wave of precip come up into the area. Not sure how pronounced the vort would be on the mean from a week out. Don't know if it's snow but there's definitely 2 shots of precip.
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Light snow/sleet combo in Thurmont MD
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Collinsworth is hard to listen to
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18z gefs has average to below average temps at 850 and 2m from about day 8 through the end of the run.
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That's awesome. Makes me want to travel to see snow. I would consider western Maryland area like deep creek or close to there but even out there has been awful so far.
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Gefs shows normal to below normal 850s and 2m temps with some waves running the boundary starting around the 3rd or 4th. Just talking in general at this range but there definitely seems to be a window of opportunity the first half of January. Hopefully we get several chances as it usually takes many tries for us to score 1.
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00z GEFS shows some potential beginning around the January 2nd. The mean has a low traversing the south and off the coast of the Carolinas with maybe some cold enough air around by that point.
