
winterwx21
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Everything posted by winterwx21
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Yeah I was just gonna mention that we're finally seeing hope on radar. Looks like maybe the backbuilding is ending. Still pouring here but it's breaking up just to the west in Somerset County. I'm a little over 5 inches of rain here now. A moron tried to drive through the flooding, and he had to abandon his car right in front of my house. I hear the loud yelling and cursing right now.
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Not just the heavy rain but we have quite a t-storm going on. Lots of lightning and very strong wind. Not as severe as that storm we had the day before the 4th, but it's gusting 40mph. North wind is blowing the rain sideways. Appears we're gonna get inches of rain too ... some of those HRRR runs were right.
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I don't want major flooding, but hoping for some heavy rain today because it's so dry out there. I see the latest HRRR (14z) crushes my area with 5 inches of rain, but we know how HRRR is. It moves around from run to run and is wildly inconsistent. Obviously some spots will get very heavy rain amounts today while others get little to nothing. Who knows.
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July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
winterwx21 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Despite all the humidity with rain chances almost every day, it has become very dry here. I'm having to water the vegetable garden very often now. Tomorrow was advertised as a more active day, but I see HRRR and NAM 3km keep most of the activity to the north and west. I hope we see a downpour, but I'm not very optimistic. -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
winterwx21 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Nice, have a great vacation! -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
winterwx21 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
85 with a dewpoint of 70 here. It's humid out there, but nothing like the tropical steambath that we had when dewpoints were in the high 70s. Looks like very little chance of rain this weekend. Most of the advertised convection for this week didn't really pan out, and we got only about a third of an inch of rain for the entire week here. I'll be watering the vegetable garden today. Hopefully we'll see something on Monday. -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
winterwx21 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Yeah I don't think there's gonna be much activity this afternoon, but we'll see. -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
winterwx21 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Yeah I saw that cell popping up on radar last night before I went to sleep. I thought it would miss me just a little to the northwest, and that's what happened. I got only 0.23" from last night's steady rain, but at least it was enough to give the garden a watering. -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
winterwx21 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Storms missing well to the south, but at least it has been a decent batch of steady light to moderate rain. 0.10" here so far and we'll be adding a little more to that. Just enough to water things out there. -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
winterwx21 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
For south of the city it looks pretty active for tonight. We have a flash flood watch in effect here. I was just looking at the latest models, and they're actually not showing a lot of activity for tomorrow now. This evening might end up being more active than tomorrow. -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
winterwx21 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Yeah I can't blame you for that after what we went through last week. Thankfully they weren't severe. I did see some nice cloud to cloud lightning. As far as the rainfall, I got 0.08" from that little band of light to moderate rain. -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
winterwx21 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Had a couple 30mph wind gusts and a couple rumbles of thunder, but yeah it's only light rain. Probably only gonna get a few hundreths to maybe a tenth out of this.