winterwx21
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Everything posted by winterwx21
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I see 0z HRRR gives our area very little tonight, with the heavy 1 to 2 inch amounts missing to the north and south. Would be very sad if it happens to us yet again. I know it's very hard for the model to pinpoint the spots that will get heavy rain though, so hopefully the 0z run will be wrong.
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Sunday night through Monday night is far from a 3 day event. The models are mainly dry for Tuesday now. This has turned into more like a 24 hour event.
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One downpour missing me just to the east right now, and another to the west. I'm being split again, lol. But with all the activity to the west, it's hard to believe our area will miss out on the heavy rain again.
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And getting occasional quarter to half inch rain events isn't going to bust us out of this horrible drought. We need heavy rain events, and unfortunately getting flooding in spots is part of that. But we need it or else this drought will continue to get worse and worse, which is devastating for agriculture. Any anyway, people rooting for whatever type of weather they enjoy isn't gonna change what's going to happen. So there's no use getting annoyed with people for liking extreme weather. This is a weather board, so it's the place where you're going to find lots of people that are interested in extreme weather. Most people here want to see big snowstorms and blizzards, and those events cause damage and kill people. You can't help what type weather you like -- no one should be judged.
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I think there will be areas that get 1 to 2 inches in addition to the areas that get lower amounts and much higher amounts. That's how it usually works when we have these heavy rain threats.
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Hopefully 1 to 2 inches -- that would be perfect.
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Since Memorial Day weekend I've had only 1 significant rainfall (a little over an inch), so I am desperate for heavy rain. I think most people that find agriculture important are rooting for heavy rain because we're in a severe drought right now. Not that we're rooting for major flooding -- hopefully that won't happen. But a 1 to 3 inch rainfall would be great. This heavy rain threat certainly is good news to me. I hope it doesn't disappoint -- we need to put a dent in this terrible drought.
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HRRR has hardly anything until very late tonight, but can't rule out an isolated downpour before then. Really hoping for some good rain tonight and tomorrow -- we've had bad luck with the heavy rain missing here the last couple days.
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Only 0.18" here tonight. Better than nothing but I hope we have better luck tomorrow. HRRR did a good job with the timing of tonight's rain, and I see the 0z run is showing a repeat tomorrow with our area getting hit around 10pm. I'm hoping to have better luck with heavy rain tomorrow night. If not I know it looks like a pretty good soaking on Monday. I am desperate for a good amount of rain -- hopefully this dry stretch is about to end.
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Missed the heavy storms but thankfully some decent rain moving in now. Looks like high end moderate rain. Should get at least a quarter inch from this.
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I'm glad it held off until 10pm so we were able to get the fireworks in, but very annoyed seeing the heavy rain missing to the south. Only a little shower here so far. I am desperate for rain for my vegetable garden. Still some activity to the west, so I'm still hoping to get something tonight.
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Those storms that popped near Harrisburg are the ones that HRRR keeps showing hitting here around 9 or 10pm. If it's 9 fireworks will be ruined, but hoping it will be closer to 10 so we can squeeze them in. But at least it's dry for early evening for cooking outside.
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The timing is pretty late though. Both HRRR and NAM3km don't have storms hitting our area until 9 or 10pm. Looks ok for late afternoon cookouts but it will be a close call for fireworks here. Hoping to get them in before storms hit.
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And if you take a close look at that radar you can see what happened. I'm on the northern side of Piscataway, close to the border of South Plainfield. You see the heavier echoes to the east and west -- I'm in that narrow little area in between where you don't see the bright echoes. Somehow I got split and got only a couple hundreths of an inch of rain, lol. Very disappointing. But as I said, thankful that I didn't lose power. I hear a lot of sirens out there so obviously there is quite a bit of damage from the near 60mph wind gusts that we had ahead of the line.
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Just a light shower here. Horrible. At least we didn't lose power.
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All this wind but based on the way radar looks I'm gonna get very little rain. Almost comical.
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Can see on radar that the storms are weakening now as they're moving in. So hopefully that wind well ahead of the storm was the worst of it. And hopefully we get a decent amount of rain.
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Would be mind-boggling if the 4th of July gets ruined for a 2nd year in a row.
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Getting some 50 to 60mph gusts here ahead of the line of storms.
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Hoping those storms in northeast PA that are moving southeast hit here in a few hours. NAM3km says we're going to get hit. A heavy downpour would be very welcome.
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The problem is I'm upstairs and have that super heated attic above. The 2 AC units work fine to keep the upstairs reasonable (like 78 degrees) during the afternoon when we have normal summer heat. But when we have this extreme heat it gets up to 83 or 84 up here during the afternoon and evening. At least it cools down pretty good overnight.
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The window units don't work that well when it's this incredibly hot. With 2 of them going yesterday my living room still got up to 84 degrees. Obviously I have a problem with super heated air up in the attic.
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Yeah last summer we had our worst heat wave in late June with 100 degree temps for a few days, but then we didn't get another extreme heat wave like that again the rest of the summer. Very unlikely to get this type of heat wave twice in a summer, but of course you never know for sure. Anyway I had a high temp of 104. Probably gonna be the same high on Friday.
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Already 100 here.
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I bet Newark will hit 105.
