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winterwx21

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Everything posted by winterwx21

  1. winterwx21
    It is very dry here right now, so I'm hoping for some heavy rain. I'll take the 1 to 2 inches that this HRRR run shows for our area, but of course we don't want the huge flooding amounts that this run shows for Monmouth County. Obviously it's difficult for the model to pinpoint exactly where those jackpot amounts will occur. The next run will probably look different. Who knows.
  2. winterwx21
    And I see 12z GFS now brings in the blazing heat during the 2nd week of the month, maybe the hottest weather of the summer. A long way to go for details on how hot it will get, but we have building support for significant heat as Don pointed out. We need to enjoy the comfortable 1st week of the month before it gets very hot again.
  3. winterwx21
    97 with a dewpoint of 67 here. Hot, but it doesn't feel as bad as I thought it would. Dewpoint of 67 isn't terrible.
  4. winterwx21
    I see the Euro backed down from that and now keeps it comfortable next week. It certainly would be nice to get a long break from the heat.
  5. winterwx21
    Temps on Friday are probably gonna stay around 70 due to the clouds and NE winds. That is going to be quite a shock after this tremendous heat wave.
  6. winterwx21
    I see Newark is already up to 98. They're probably going higher than 100 today.
  7. winterwx21
    Already 95 here.
  8. winterwx21
    Euro now brings the 90s back early to mid next week. Looks like a break for a few days and then we go back to the heat. It's 94 with a dewpoint of 67 here right now. Doesn't feel terrible today.
  9. winterwx21
    92 with a dewpoint of 68 here right now.
  10. winterwx21
    12z NAM 3km was a joke with how far off it was with the heavy rain it had going through this area late morning and midday. HRRR much closer to reality. I'm hoping for some rain today since it's very dry here. We've had very little since the floods a couple weeks ago. It's not looking great for rain today though ... HRRR has very little and it appears that we have only a slight chance.
  11. winterwx21
    I'm thinking mid 90s on Monday and upper 90s to near 100 Tueday and Wednesday. Quite a heat wave, but that will be it for the heat for awhile. Next Friday and Saturday look beautiful with low 80s and low humidity.
  12. winterwx21
    Only a brief moderate shower here as the heavy stuff is missing just to the south. So one cell missed me a few miles to the north and another a few miles to the south. Bad luck for rain here so far.
  13. winterwx21
    Yep I just heard thunder from that new cell. That one is a little more to the south so it might clip me.
  14. winterwx21
    I see another tiny cell popped up in Somerset, and of course we have more back in PA. I'm hoping to get some rain here.
  15. winterwx21
    So a nice strong t-storm but far from severe. That's good.
  16. winterwx21
    Temp dropped from 97 to 84 with the north winds from this cell that's missing me just a few miles to the north.
  17. winterwx21
    I just heard some thunder.
  18. winterwx21
    I think it's gonna miss me just a few miles to the north. I wish you the best in Plainfield ... it's a close call being near the southern edge of the cell. I hope you don't get it too bad.
  19. winterwx21
    I might even get clipped here if it keeps building south.
  20. winterwx21
    Yeah it certainly appears that the worst is gonna miss just to the north, but keeping a close eye on radar in case that changes.
  21. winterwx21
    Yep. I get nervous with these cells that drop from northwest to southeast. They tend to give us our strongest winds like the one that happened on July 3rd.
  22. winterwx21
    It's gonna be very close. We'll have to see if it keeps building south as Forky mentioned. It's possible it just misses me but clips you a few miles to my north in Plainfield.
  23. winterwx21
    Yeah it appears that severe cell in Morris is gonna miss us just to the north, but it's a close call. I want some heavy rain but of course we don't want severe winds again after what we went through.
  24. winterwx21
    96 with a dewpoint of 73 here right now.
  25. winterwx21
    Already 92 here. Dewpoint is 74. I think we'll hit 98 or 99 for the high temp here.
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