winterwx21
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Everything posted by winterwx21
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First freeze coming Wednesday night.
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Yep I thought that was gonna be our last 80s. I'm glad we got another shot of very warm weather here in late October.
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81 here now. Hit 83 earlier. It even feels a little muggy with the dewpoint at 60. Feels more like late August than late October. I hope everyone is enjoying this last day of summer! Quite a change coming ... Wednesday we might be stuck in the 40s.
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High of 75 here today. As others mentioned, clouds hung on too long to get temps like we had yesterday. Will be sunny much earlier tomorrow so we should hit low 80s. Last warm day before the cool pattern.
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81 here. I'm leaving now for bow hunting. Warmer than ideal for hunting, but I don't care. This is spectacular weather. I am looking forward to the chilly weather next week (maybe our first freeze next wed or thur night), but I'm glad we're getting this last stretch of summer-like weather.
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Sorry the car got damaged, but I'm glad you had a great time looking at the spectacular foliage.
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This is a spectacular week for outdoor activities. Lots of bow hunting and hiking for me. Looking forward to the upper 70s. And you're right that the foliage looks very nice. There were concerns that it might not be as great this year due to the constantly saturated soil, but that doesn't appear to be happening. Looks great out there.
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Yeah it's starting to look nice. Tomorrow I'm going up to Sussex County to check out the color and do some hiking at Swartswood Park.
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And before then with our minor cool shot early next week, it looks as if our area could get down to mid-upper 30s monday night.
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And actually a lot of the models are showing most of the rain friday now instead of saturday. It could be a decent soaking friday afternoon into friday night but then a mostly dry saturday.
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And 12z CMC gives us some showers on Friday but very little Saturday. We seem to be trending away from it being a significant event, although GFS is still bullish and obviously there's plenty of time for this to trend back to being a significant event.
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We're probably gonna end up with .75 to 1.00 like Allsnow predicted yesterday.
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Too bad this season isn't expected to be as nice for fall color. Constantly saturated soil isn't a good thing for that.
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It's almost becoming comical at this point. Dry during the week and then rain on saturday. Obviously next weekend is a long way out, but knowing how our luck has been going the Euro will probably be right. Would be nice if we could get a day like today on a saturday for a change. It's spectacular fall weather today.
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What a day. Sunny and 72 degrees here. I'm leaving now for bow hunting. Perfect weather for it.
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Amazing (and annoying) that the timing keeps working out for rain on saturdays. Yet again it appears that we're gonna have a mostly dry week but then rain on saturday.
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I agree with you. I enjoyed all of our heavy rain-t-storm events during the summer, but I finally got tired of it. Obviously we got more than enough rain the last few months and don't need any more, so I'm glad this one isn't producing for my area.
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I didn't say a big chunk of the area. But last night's HRRR had a band of 3 to 5 inches from the Jersey shore up through NE New Jersey and the NYC area. Doesn't appear that's gonna happen now. 3km NAM cut way back on amounts too. Some heavy rain in spots for sure, but not as impressive as it looked last night.
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Yep just getting a shower now. Heavy downpour going through central Middlesex County.
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Gonna be heavy rain in spots, but overall it isn't looking as bad as what yesterday's models showed. It no longer appears that we're gonna see that serious 3 to 5 inch band across a chunk of the area. Instead it looks more like scattered heavy downpours now with some spots getting 1 to 2 inches.
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And it gets heavy amounts much further to the west than HRRR. HRRR performed very well for the last event while 3km NAM did not. HRRR was spot on with the sharp cutoff near our area. I would lean towards the HRRR for this event (sharp cutoff near our area again), but of course you never know. Meanwhile the regular NAM isn't impressed with tomorrow at all, but of course that's a horrible model that shouldn't be given much weight.
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This is looking like the type of event in which there will be a band of very heavy rain (2 to 5 inches), but mostly light amounts outside of that band. 0z HRRR is showing very heavy amounts for the Jersey shore up through NE New Jersey, but light amounts for most areas west of there. I am right near the edge. Don't know if I'm gonna get a quarter inch or a few inches. Very tough to predict.
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I was gonna start bow hunting yesterday, but 80s seems like ridiculously warm hunting weather. More like pool weather, lol. So I'm gonna start the bow hunting tomorrow. A little more reasonable hunting weather tomorrow with temps in mid-upper 70s.
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86 degrees here. Really feels like summer. I'm enjoying this last summer-like week, but also looking forward to the cooler weather for Sunday and next week. Models still giving most of us just light to moderate amounts of rain Saturday, but potential for heavier amounts for LI and CT. Then a nice cool-dry stretch for Sunday through most of next week, before another possible storm next weekend.
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High temp of 83 here today. Probably gonna hit 85 tomorrow.
