NutleyBlizzard

1.5 inches snow/sleet in Nutley township.

Probably the snow fall rates. Radar looking really juicy.

Meteorologist Jeff Smith did mention the snow struggling to get into our region due to dry air. Maybe we'll be pleasantly surprised overnight. I'm so snow starved I would sign up for an inch. How depressing.

Putting my cold/snow bias aside, these CAD setups are a pain in the *ss to forecast. They are often full of surprises. Looking at the colder trends in the past 24 hours has my attention, especially the EURO who usually has a warm thermal bias. That's a big red flag. I believe chances have increased for a mid November winter storm redux with mostly a snow to sleet scenario.

Looking at the surface plots Nam shows a more robust front end dump. Need to see clown maps to confirm.

Weather underground currently has my area receiving 3-5 inches before the changeover.

Where do I sign?

Euro looks great. Waiting on clown maps.

Transfer looks sloppy but pops a weak coastal in time to keep a lot of the area in snow.

GFS coming in colder this run. initial wave is much weaker. Let's see if it transfers in time...

I've been through worse. The winter of 2001/2002 comes to mind, and don't get me started with the 1980's other than a few big storms once in a great while.

If we don't get a least an advisory snow event out of this pattern, I give up.

I thought February was supposed to be rockin'? Even the conservative forecasters predicted it. This winter makes me sick.

I looked into the Boston annual snowfall archives that goes back into 1920. If Boston receives no more snow this season, it would be an all time record low by far.

As the days go by the frustration mounts. We just can't catch a break this winter. When one connector improves, another one goes to crap. All I ask for is just one MECS event then call it a winter.