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About NutleyBlizzard

  • Birthday 04/24/1966

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    Nutley, New Jersey

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  1. NutleyBlizzard

    Fall/Winter 2018-19 Complaint/Banter Thread

    My wife has been fighting depression for years. Medication and therapy has helped some. Still there are good and bad days. So sorry for your loss.
  2. NutleyBlizzard

    December 2018 General Discussion & Observations

    Let them have it. They deserve it. Our time will come soon enough. When all is said and done the majority of the area will be well above snowfall for the season. Patience.
  3. NutleyBlizzard

    December 2018 General Discussion & Observations

    12 out of 50 members now have big hits in SNE.
  4. NutleyBlizzard

    December 2018 General Discussion & Observations

    There's a lot of chatter in the NE thread about this storm ultimately coming further north due to the fact of models underestimating the northern stream with a weak ElNino being present.
  5. NutleyBlizzard

    December 2018 General Discussion & Observations

    GFS Para was on its way to a major hit until it reached the coast of Virginia and the run gets wonky. The center "jumps" offshore. Looks to me like it may be the low chasing convection. Despite that, it was a big improvement from the 0Z run.
  6. NutleyBlizzard

    December 9-10, 2018 Wintry Weather Threat

    GFS is clueless. Its run to run changes have been downright comical. Thank god this mess of a model will be taken out to pasture next month. I'm more inclined to follow the GFS Para. Only problem is its always painfully slow to come out on tidbits. Hopefully this issue will be fixed when it officially takes over.
  7. NutleyBlizzard

    December 2018 General Discussion & Observations

    I agree. There are many times where these big ticket events end up further north. 6z GFS was close to a big hit for us. Southern Jersey on southward gets dumped while we still get some decent snows up here.
  8. NutleyBlizzard

    11/15-11/16 Coastal Storm Observation Thread

    After a long day I'm finally getting to unwind on my recliner. What's normally a 20 minute commute from my job took nearly 3 hours. I measured 6.5'' when I got home. Great storm.
  9. NutleyBlizzard

    11/15-16 Coastal Storm/ULL Discussion

    Euro+Ukie combo is tough to beat especially this close to an event. We'll see if the Meso models tick colder at 18Z.
  10. NutleyBlizzard

    Griteater's Winter Outlook (18-19)

    Good to hear from you Tom! Many members are eagerly awaiting your thoughts of this upcoming winter.
  11. NutleyBlizzard

    Winter 2018-19 Is Coming

    Even in the most severe winters there are going to be relaxation/reload periods. If not looking at the calendar per say, winter runs from Dec. 1st thru April 1st. That's a long period of time for sustained cold. No one should expect a wire to wire winter cause you're really reaching for the moon if you do.
  12. NutleyBlizzard

    Winter 2018-19 Is Coming

    Check out the daily ENSO numbers. There's a very good chance this Nino will achieve moderate status. That being said, DT going with a 200% call is bold. He normally likes to hedge a bit. With him being so gungho this time around gets my attention.
  13. NutleyBlizzard

    Winter Predictions

    February we will have a crippling triple phased blizzard when a slow moving miller A coastal gets caught up by the polar vortex. Folks down in DC will see upwards of 2 feet. Further north towards Philly will have 2-3 foot amounts. Northern half of NJ-NYC metro 3 feet plus. SNE upwards of 4 feet.
  14. So let me get this straight. NOAA going with warm and dry conditions while JB says armageddon is coming. Someone is going to look foolish.
  15. NutleyBlizzard

    Winter 2018-19 Is Coming

    Perhaps it'll be a year where they come right up the coastline and DC to Boston gets crushed. Just like the good ol' days.