Fozz
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Everything posted by Fozz
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NAM is running now, probably coming back to reality.
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I really hope this one buries those of you who were screwed in the March storm.
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Nice @usedtobe jackpot.
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I recall several nice events in which I've seen 5-6" from an event that only had an advisory. With some luck, this one could also join that list.
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I know, which is why I said in the previous post that I don't really care that I'm not in one.
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We'll be fine. We aren't getting 6-10"+ like the Virginia crowd, but this is still looking much better than it was a few days ago when I feared we may barely get an inch. It's going to be cold, everything will easily stick, and the long range is the best look I've seen since 2010.
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Honestly I wouldn't be surprised if we eventually get the warning too.
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lol... I'm still not in a warning. But I don't even care. As Ron Paul would say, it's happening!
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Even more incredible is the temps in the middle of it.... absolutely frigid...
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Enter the 12z FV3 GFS
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I don't know when the snow was expected to start for the western crowd @clskinsfan @EastCoast NPZ, but from my experience, an early start is a great sign. Enjoy this one!
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It's fine. They are likely very busy, taking in a lot of info very quickly for a pretty tough forecast, working on a Saturday after many weeks without pay and no end in sight, all over a dumb political impasse. I think they're doing a great job considering the circumstances they're in.
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Is that the FV3 snow map? It reminds me of that old DGEX run on 1/30/2010 that called for up to 48", and was almost spot on.
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Hmmmm.... looks like they're hinting at expanding the warnings into Baltimore. Also it seems like barring a big north jump, @NorthArlington101 made the right move by driving to Charlottesville.
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My bar is 4". Hoping for at least a decent, high-end advisory event.
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That vort passage is a thing of beauty. Just perfect to crush our area. I don't care if it's 8" or 20", this right here is an awesome look.
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If this was 60+ hours away, I'd dismiss it immediately, but we're inside 36 hours and we have the NAM nuking most of us. I don't know what to make of this... it's one of the most stunning runs I've seen in ages.
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And it's not even finished. Still coming down. Maybe that 8" SREF mean in NE MD isn't as crazy as I thought. Or the NAM is just being the NAM. But still....
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Still coming down hard after sunset tomorrow evening, according to the NAM. I would've never expected a deform band like this a few days ago.
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NAM crushes Baltimore with heavy rates at noon tomorrow.
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Forgive me if I'm reading that wrong, but is this calling for 8.5" in Aberdeen? That sounds crazier than the NAM.
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I know it’s Maine, but still the totals on that run are astonishing. We just need to somehow bring that 48”+ zone down to MD and VA.
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GFS nukes northern Maine. I’ve never seen so much white on a snow map outside the mountains.
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Looks like a great event is unfolding for DC, southern MD, and VA. Enjoy this one you guys!
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Check out this site and see if there's a location near you with that data. http://xmacis.rcc-acis.org/
