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Fozz

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Everything posted by Fozz

  1. Fozz
    I agree, which is why I ran the numbers using the entire period from 1871 to 2017. I'm not all that comfortable with a sample size of only 30 if I can do better.
  2. Fozz
    I'm not sure of their exact methods. I guess it would make sense to do that with their 30 year averages since the sample size isn't so big. I know they reduced the totals of Dec 2009 and Feb 2010 a few months after that winter, probably because of measurement issues or some other reason I can't clearly recall.
  3. Fozz
    I did a Python analysis on Baltimore's precip totals, just cause I felt like it, and it turns out that 2018 single-handedly wrecked the normal distribution. Precip totals are now skewed to the right. Sometimes one extreme outlier is all it takes. Baltimore's final total of 71.82" is over 4 standard deviations above the long-term pre-2018 average.
  4. Fozz
    Ouch, sorry that happened. I also watched it from inside for the most part. Around mid-morning on the 16th, I went out to try getting some logs for the fireplace (we lived in the woods back then) but then the snow was too heavy so I just stayed inside for the rest of the day and watched it pile up. It was an incredible sight.
  5. Fozz
    How well do you remember PDII? That one was also huge, and it was the first HECS that I remember well (I was way too young in 1996).
  6. Fozz
    I'm starting to wonder whether this March will end up colder than not only February, but also January and December. Some of the guidance is predicting some scary cold for the next few weeks, and since the actual met winter months have been so mild, I think we have a shot at March being colder than any of them, not just relative to normal but also in an absolute sense. I wonder how many times that has happened. Probably in 1960, but that sure isn't easy to achieve.
  7. Fozz
    I think we just need to remind ourselves (even though most of us already know it) that winters that are this bad, aren't the norm at all. Winters where the Carolinas to SE VA, as well as the cities north of 40N get big storms, while we get almost nothing, are NOT NORMAL. Otherwise, the whole "DC sucks" narrative gets out of control like it just before the last 3 good winters.
  8. Fozz
    2/10/10 Jan 2016 PDII December 2009 2/6/10
  9. Fozz
    6 years!!!
  10. Fozz
    From what I remember, the blizzard didn't really get going until mid-late morning, and I remember waking up surprised to see blizzard warnings in the area. From late-morning through until sundown, it was just an amazing day for those who were in the favored spots.
  11. Fozz
    My personal ranking: Feb 10, 2010 January 2016 PDII December 2009 Feb 6, 2010 I was too young in 1996, otherwise it would've certainly been up there. I still consider Feb 10 my favorite because the winds were incredible... much more impressive compared to the storm on Saturday, though the totals were slightly lower. I think most people from Baltimore north are going to rank that one very high. January 2016 is a close second.
  12. Fozz
    Thank you all for putting all those loops together, it's really awesome watching the storm come together on the models, the radar, and multiple satellite loops. I don't think it's a stretch to say that we just experienced a repeat of the Blizzard of 96, 20 years later, and this storm will forever change our perception of super Ninos. Probably my all time favorite storm, or a close 2nd.
  13. Fozz
    Definitely yesterday's storm over Snowmageddon. I'd say it was even better than the Blizzard of 96, at least in the metro areas, but it may not get as high of a NESIS rating since it missed much SNE.
  14. Fozz
    oops
  15. Fozz
    I was just going to suggest a thread like this. Let's keep all the amazing images and memories of this storm in here so we can easily come back to it.
  16. Fozz
    That one was one of the more memorable ice storms I've experienced. I was terrified of losing power, but luckily escaped... I felt that I dodged a bullet because many others in the area including some of my professors weren't as lucky. The best part besides the picturesque scenes was that it solidified the snowpack and practically turned it into a glacier.
  17. Fozz
    I like ice storms but only if it's a moderate amount (no more than 0.3") and it falls on top of snow. If I'm going to lose power, then no thanks. Feb 2014 at Millersville was just about perfect.
  18. Fozz
    4 months?
  19. Fozz
    Ouch. Well, one interesting thing I'll remember about the second storm is that when it was being forecast, some mets were talking about 8" of snow like they were shrugging it off, basically saying it won't really be a big deal. That alone is incredible considering where we live.
  20. Fozz
    I didn't think so either, but SNE's superwinter last year made me think it might be able to happen again. From what I remember, the Feb 10 blizzard was a colder storm with stronger winds. The snowpack from the first storm certainly helped, but even without it the second storm brought a widespread 10-20"+.
  21. Fozz
    I disagree. Although one happened a few days after the other, the storms had a different feel and character.
  22. Fozz
    To get the first ever Jan-March that averaged below freezing is really impressive
  23. Fozz
    34" in PDII? Are there any confirmed reports of totals that high in the eastern burbs of Baltimore? I've seen it on the wikipedia page but never any convincing evidence
  24. Fozz
    2010 > 2012 > 2015
  25. Fozz
    Or maybe getting 2-3 HECS that year means we wait twice as long as usual for the next one
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