Fozz
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Everything posted by Fozz
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At this point we might as well assume that getting fringed is our climo. Saves us from disappointment later on.
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I didn’t even see the HDRPS when I posted that. Good lord…
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FV3 confirms everything that I’ve been wary about. And with poor snow growth on the fringes (GFS has low ratios for Kuchera), I don’t even think 2” is a guarantee north of the Baltimore beltway.
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The NAM is looking really nice, but based on the rule of cutting the NAM totals by half, I still like this call.
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I’m expecting anywhere from 2” to 2.5” IMBY. Good luck everyone, enjoy this!
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Sold!
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For most of us it isn’t about being “in the jack”. It is about wanting a storm that offers more than just 2-4”. Especially when snow events are few and far between.
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Most of us aren’t psuhoffman… we don’t live on a little mountain where we get random 2-4” squalls that nobody else gets.
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We’ve gotta see if it shows on the 3K NAM because that is more believable.
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3-5 has been the ceiling for basically every event here since 2018. So why not?
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That’s not my point though. My point is that if they aren’t including the northern counties then they aren’t expecting as much there. But the map isn’t consistent with that.
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Lolll I’m in the bullseye here.
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Their WSW begs to differ though. If this really was their forecast then they’d include the northern counties in the watch.
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I have a feeling this will verify almost perfectly. Yet another disappointing shaft on the way for the Baltimore crowd.
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So where is that “it’s supposed to snow” line? Somewhere near Fredericksburg?
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This is absolute perfection and it would be the biggest storm in almost a decade for many… if only it verifies that way and we assume that all accumulates properly.
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I was ready to give up on this storm. And then I saw the Euro. Let’s pull this north!
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Where I live, we had 8.5” in March 2018. That may have been the last time here. I was out during January 6 this year but that may have been around 5-6”. How much did you end up with?
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Well that is a disappointing run.
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You’re moving to Hunt Valley? We’ll be next door neighbors.
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I’d say for the majority of us this is exactly where we’d want it by now. Gives most of us a solid 5-10” but also plenty of room for north shifts.
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Time for that southeast ridge to flex a little harder!
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Coming from someone who lived there a couple years ago, the winters are nice but living there is not all it’s cracked up to be.
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Especially 80% chance this far out. Not even “chance of snow” or “snow likely” on Tuesday. Just “Snow”.
