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Fozz

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  1. Fozz
    Yep, that tracks. I have faint memories of seeing snow in NYC in like 1994 (which of course was a big year), but the first storm I really remember as a distinct event was January 1996, but it's still a very faint memory. Vivid for me is anything from 2002 onwards.
  2. Fozz
    I know my solid weather memories go back to around age 11. For example I remember PDII far better than March 2001. I've also seen many younger guys say they can't remember big weather events very well before 10-12.
  3. Fozz
    I'm trying to assume the Kuchera ratio is overdone (which those widespread 20"+ totals are based on), but not sure what is a realistic guess. Maybe 12-14:1?
  4. Fozz
    So 0.8" of QPF from 3pm to 9pm (here in Worcester) has to easily be close to a foot of snow in that timeframe alone. Maybe 14-16" in Boston? I still can't believe what I'm seeing.
  5. Fozz
    I keep thinking of PDII and even a week ago saw it as the most obvious analogue. It was preceded by a bigger cold airmass with a 1040+ high and robust overrunning system that didn’t have much of a strong low. The difference with this one is that it shifted further north. That one was a DC to Boston blockbuster.
  6. Fozz
    Same here. It would be my biggest snowfall outside a ski resort in a decade. I’d be thrilled with a foot but I think it will easily exceed that.
  7. Fozz
    Awesome, I think it’s fair to assume 12:1 ratios at least even without getting carried away, this is a widespread 18”+ storm underway if other guidance matches these QPF totals which they seem to.
  8. Fozz
    I was in Cumberland RI... that one was a heartbreaking screwjob. @TheSnowman probably remembers this one all too well.
  9. Fozz
    Just days ago this storm seemed poised to bury the mid-Atlantic while giving us a few inches consolation prize at best. We have come so far since then, now on track for a full fledged MECS and the biggest storm in years for many. I am beyond excited, planning for baked cookies, hot chocolate, and a pizza run. Whether it's 12" or 19" I'll enjoy it all the same.
  10. Fozz
    I just learned the other day that January 1977 had flurries in the Bahamas
  11. Fozz
    That is nearly the entire state of Texas in either a winter storm or extreme cold watch or warning. And maybe half the country.
  12. Fozz
    The problem is that when Leesburg doesn’t get 2’, people won’t just stop trusting Apple’s weather forecasts, they’ll also conflate it with “the weather man”.
  13. Fozz
    I’d be shocked if you don’t easily surpass that cutoff this weekend. All those places north of Baltimore will be getting what is long overdue. At least 6-10”.
  14. Fozz
    8” is a big psychological cutoff for many. For a lot of people, the line between a moderate snow event and a major snowstorm is right around 8” or so. When you get close to double digits then it starts to look like what many would call a MECS. And I don’t just mean the number, but also the look of the snowpack.
  15. Fozz
    Happy 10 year anniversary for one of the greatest mid-Atlantic blizzards of all time! Still feels like yesterday. It was as close to perfection as any storm can get.
  16. Fozz
    Dude. You live in New England. Even if you miss a storm, you’ll see another one next year or in a few years at the most. This isn’t Virginia. Your accordion talent is far more rare than any SNE blizzard. You’re a famous man with a Wikipedia page so embrace it and just roll with it if you can’t be here for one good storm.
  17. Fozz
    I’m very close to Quinsig lake so not sure if I’m in the hills, but I’m certainly on the east side.
  18. Fozz
    Yeah I’m stunned at the intensity and duration of this upcoming cold spell especially down south. Maryland will be in the deep freeze nearly as intensely as up here. I’m sure it’s happened in 1899 and 1979, maybe also 2015 to some extent but this has to be extraordinarily rare.
  19. Fozz
    Bro I’ve been to Kirkwood, Alta and Whistler a few years ago. They can easily get many feet of snow and the skiing is phenomenal especially with fresh powder.
  20. Fozz
    Great write up, and no complaints from me about your jackpot zones.
  21. Fozz
    Get the ticket. You can always make more money later especially with your rare skill and talent. Dont worry about $2000, just come back and enjoy the storm.
  22. Fozz
    Yeah when I saw that early redevelopment from TN to the Carolina coast, I knew it was a good sign.
  23. Fozz
    Yes, aside from 1996 this is as good as it gets for a Nina. And there will quite possibly be more storms to come, not to mention a deep freeze that may last for weeks. The extended range keeps the block remarkably stable and doesn’t seem to have any meaningful warmup in sight, so any snow or sleet that falls will probably last a long time.
  24. Fozz
    I’d say it’s tougher to get a big storm with double digits in the cities while staying all snow. A 1-3” clipper without precip worries is easy. But it takes a damn near perfect setup like February 2010 or January 2016 to get a slow moving coastal monster that delivers prolific totals, awesome dynamics, and doesn’t mix at all. And that’s why they’re so rare and memorable.
  25. Fozz
    Watches are up!
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