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CPcantmeasuresnow

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Everything posted by CPcantmeasuresnow

  1. CPcantmeasuresnow
    Storm totals are supposed to be the high depth amount for the day. Should for instance 10 inches compact down to seven or eight people are supposed to record 10. Of course it doesn't always happen that way.
  2. CPcantmeasuresnow
    It's hard to imagine this scenario where Sussex ends up with only an inch more than Cape May. It could happen, but I don't see it. Wonder what they're thinking is, other than twice the precip in south Jersey?
  3. CPcantmeasuresnow
    I think the northern areas of the forum should see a foot easy, even up to 15-18 in select spots.
  4. CPcantmeasuresnow
    Thank you for helping us with the very complex math involved with these ratios.
  5. CPcantmeasuresnow
    They are always concerning even when you think you're far enough north or west. With that said if this ended with just the last .10 of precip as sleet, I find that ideal for many different reasons.
  6. CPcantmeasuresnow
    It should be a good one. I could easily see a foot maybe a foot and a half. I've seen a lot of 2 foot and a couple of 30-35 inches here. I don't think we can get to those levels out of this setup.
  7. CPcantmeasuresnow
    Hit -1 yesterday morning so it's good to get that out of the way for this Winter. I just got back from a long journey into the Main Forum. Such an odd place. Everyone seems to reference where they live as the only place that exists in current setups and past winters. It's good to be home.
  8. CPcantmeasuresnow
    Because you like the output right now. If it shows an OTS solution tomorrow or cutting through Michigan you will want the plug pulled on it.
  9. CPcantmeasuresnow
    Sometimes I wonder why I venture out of our homeland.
  10. CPcantmeasuresnow
    Happens all the time. Everyone acts like where they are is where everyone is. No concept the forum runs a general 75 mile radius north south east and west of Central Park.
  11. CPcantmeasuresnow
    I wouldn't call that very likely. Very likely you changed to sleet at some point I give better odds of that. Probability of over a foot in central Suffolk? 22.7%
  12. CPcantmeasuresnow
    Anywhere on Long Island or a specific spot?
  13. CPcantmeasuresnow
    Why would we want it to melt? I've had snow cover almost 40 days so far this winter. I'm hoping for 80.
  14. CPcantmeasuresnow
    Let's hope. It still irritates me how they messed up the Jan 1996 blizzard measurements. That should be a 24plus storm but somehow at the end they gave us 20. Newark airport measured 28 LGA 24 and right in the middle 5 miles in either direction a 20 from Central Park. That was the days of the infamous Central Park zookeeper doing the measurements.
  15. CPcantmeasuresnow
    I'm not gonna say it's impossible because in this set up, they could get near 18 inches. What is impossible is them ever accurately measuring 18 inches. Especially in a long duration storm, they usually f up as only they can.
  16. CPcantmeasuresnow
    For Southern New Jersey that's a big snow. It's not like we're talking about southern New York.
  17. CPcantmeasuresnow
    It's four days now with an early Sunday am start time.
  18. CPcantmeasuresnow
    -1 here. First sub zero this winter. ❄️
  19. CPcantmeasuresnow
    Sandyston in Sussex county recorded -32 in the January 1994 cold outbreak and is probably more legitimate although they do recognize that -34 in River Vale in 1904. I'm about 45 miles east, northeast of Sandyston in Orange County NY, Highland Mills, and I recorded -23 that morning. There were numerous readings below -20 county wide in Orange and NW jersey so it's not far fetched a sheltered valley hit -32. Plus the snow cover was pretty deep area wide at that time.
  20. CPcantmeasuresnow
    Not when the snow starts with tempertures in the teens it isn't. You don't want to flirt with any mid level warming in a setup like this.
  21. CPcantmeasuresnow
    No one likes a lot of freezing rain. Give me .005to .10 of an inch after a big snowfall, It looks fantastic. Anything more just destructive and no need for it.
  22. CPcantmeasuresnow
    I don't think cutoffs here will be nearly as drastic. Right now I'll take my 0.4-0.5 convert that to 7-8 inches of snow and call it a day. I'm 50 miles due north of NYC and still have nightmares about that storm. 30 inches in NYC like you said, I received 12 only because a heavy band rotated over my area for 2-3 hours. 10 miles north of me 6 inches. Watching the heavy stuff on radar for hours failing to advance, It took years of therapy for me to recover.
  23. CPcantmeasuresnow
    The January 1996 blizzard dropped 21 inches on JFK airport with 1.1 qpf. This storm would have similar temperature profiles at least, don't know about the other dynamics involved.
  24. CPcantmeasuresnow
    I might be wrong, but you strike me as someone who would complain about winning the lottery because of all the taxes you would have to pay on the winnings.
  25. CPcantmeasuresnow
    I'm sure it would. The problem is would they bother to measure it?
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