CPcantmeasuresnow

33.8 and mostly snow now in Highalnd Mills, 600 asl.

What’s the temperature there? I’m at 34.5 and have barely seen a flake mixed in. Precip somewhat light here.

36.3 and wet rain. Winter storm warning still in Orange County for 6-12. Sure that’s happening.

The latest Euro run certainly bears that hope out. I think I'm just suffering from weekend model hangover and need rest to see this thing out until the end.

You started to get the sense on Saturday that this was not going to be one to two to three feet of snow in our area that many of the models, Euro, NAM, UKIE, even a couple of CMC runs, were outputting. I wish there was a way to punish them all for stupidity, especially the Euro and NAM but would that really bring the storm back? We expect stupidity from the NAM and everyone ignores it accordingly, the Euro should just be taken out back and put out of its misery. The more modest forecast amounts now, 4-12 in the WSW for Orange County, was always in the range I assumed would actually happen but on the higher end of that range. I'm now convinced, at least where I am at 600 feet elevation 4 miles north of Woodbury Common, that even 4 inches will be tough to achieve. Part of me, even though I love snow, is now hoping this is a total failure snow wise. Why not remember this Winter that never was as the epic failure that it should be remembered as. Let's go out with a gang buster of a bust and wake up Wednesday morning with a half inch of backend slush. It's the only way for this miserable season that wasn't to end.. Sitting at 18.5 inches for the season and need less than 4.5 inches from this storm to keep my snowfall futility record for a season. Part of me hoping for that.

Did they ever explain the cancellation? Who got sick?

Nope, it's fantasy. I wish it would happen, but it's in all likelihood not going to. I'm not even that optimistic where I live which is 50 miles NNW of Central Park. Hope I'm wrong.

Since 1956 there have been 4 10 plus inch snowfalls in March in NYC. Near misses April 6 1982 with 9.6, March 22 1967 9.0 inches , March 21, 2018 8.4, March 2 2009 8.3, March 14 2017 7.6, March 5 2015 7.5. Most of these at 10 inches recorded somewhere within the city boundaries. It’s not as rare as everyone seems to believe. People have short memories.

Washington DC and New York City Are different animals for winter and winter storms. It’s like comparing New York City and Boston.

I’m in Highland Mills in Orange County. 600 feet elevation, about 8 miles northwest of the Bear mountain bridge. I’ve seen every accumulation possible on maps the last 2 days from 4 inches to 34. I take nothing for granted for this storm. Still keeping my mind open to any outcome. Probably 8-12 is a reasonable expectation atm.

Yes that would be great. Better than writing off anything 15 miles north and west of the city.

That’s a very broad statement. It’s a big metro area.

I’ve seen 10:1 maps, which I’m sure are all over inflated in this setup, from 4 inches to over 30 over my house (Highland Mills NY, 35 miles due west of Danbury) in the last two days. I’ll gladly take the Euro as is but honestly I’m getting PTSD from all the different outcomes. May take a 24 hour break for sanities sake.

If you even get the historic storm. Most strong El Niño winters you won’t. Occasionally you luck out.

Strong El Niño’s stink for here. What criteria do you use for good here? A mild low snow winter with the chance for one historic storm. No thanks, I’ve seen that already and I’ll pass.

Not much wiggle room for me. From 1 inch to 15 inches in a 30 mile span.

I’d sign for it as is right now.

2.3 inches highland Mills. 31.8 and light snow. Already melting off driveway. If I measured at 6:00 was probably closer to three. Compressing and melting from underneath at an alarming rate. Beautiful though stuck to everything. Will mostly be a memory by sunset. 18.5 for the season. Whatever’s falling now won’t keep up with what’s melting underneath.

2.3 inches here brings the seasonal to 18.5. 31.8 with light snow. Already melting off driveway.

31.8 light snow 2.3 inches, brings seasonal total to 18.5. The winter of 22/23 never ceases to disappoint. Better than nothing but I’m sure it will all be gone by sunset.

31.8 now and light snow. Radar just west of here not healthy looking at all. No way it’s still snowing at sunrise. 2:00 am looks like a stretch.

32.2 steady moderate snow. Grass white nothing on blacktop yet.

Started as rain here about 6:00 with temp at 38. Changed to all snow about 9:00 when temp hit 34. 32.4 now moderate to heavy snow.

32.7 moderate snow accumulating on grassy surfaces. Radar to the west doesn’t look great though. Hard to believe this keeps up until after sunrise.

33.4 and all snow. No accumulation yet. Changed about 20 minutes ago when it hit 34.0