vpbob21

Picked up .6", up to 2.2" for the season. Last year we didn't reach 2.2" until 1/14, so we're over 3 weeks ahead of last year!

Snow squall warning for my county!! First time that I can remember.

We're on the scoreboard with .2! Would have been a top 10 event last year.

Probably because of how high the ceiling is for this. If it can avoid going over land early on, given the SST's and lack of shear, I have to think cat 5 is very possible, if not likely. Will be interesting to see what the hurricane models will crank out once they start running. Wouldn't be surprised to see at least one of them go sub 900mb.

College of DuPage has it out to 360 hrs. Also it notes that the 06Z and 18Z runs will now go out to 144 hrs. That's a nice change.

Everything pretty much skipped over this area. We picked up maybe .05". Looks like we may have to wait another week to 10 days for the next chance.

If you believe the models the eastern half of northern Ohio may get pretty much whiffed by Beryl. I guess this is just not our year.

Had a couple quick showers yesterday that dropped maybe .01. The lake breeze is well entrenched so I doubt we see anything today. Sunday is looking more iffy as the storms might fire just to the south and east of here. Need that front to slow down just a bit.

Congrats! Storms were close enough Monday to hear thunder, but all raindrops avoided my yard. Hopefully the cold front Sunday can produce for us.

20/9/5

Might have to extend this thread into 5/22. Could be an interesting day in IN/OH if we get close to full sunshine early on. SPC has us in a 15% day 4

Regarding the chicken debate, among the 4 places we have in Sandusky, I would rate them (from best to worst): Chick-fil-a (although I think they have slipped a bit recently), Lee's, Cane's, KFC

The models keep edging the track of the low farther east. I'm thinking flooding may be a bigger hazard tomorrow in Ohio than severe, maybe the counties near the WV and PA borders could get some severe action.

Tried the place out today after all the recommendations. Agree that it's good but pricey. Cracker Barrel is generally my go to place for breakfast - don't see myself converting to SBPH. 3 pancakes cost $10 (nothing else). At CB for the same price I can get 3 bigger pancakes as well as 2 eggs and 2 strips of bacon.

Looks like everyone in the subforum has eaten there. I live 4 miles away and haven't been (although I did eat there when it was a Perkins).

Yeah, I thought it would get darker too. I mean, it was dark, the street lights came on. But I thought the sky would go completely dark. As soon as it went total you could already see the sky brightening off to the southwest. I wonder if it would have been darker if the high clouds wouldn't have been around.

Yeah my county went up 3 categories (from general thunder to enhanced) in 1 outlook. Don't know that I've ever seen that.

8.1" total for the season here. I don't know how I could give it anything but an F.

This cloudy winter just continues on. It is almost getting comical how it manages to stay overcast when the general setup would seem to favor sunshine. Crazy to see places like Duluth hitting 50 while we are stuck in the low 30's down here.

Managed to flip to snow long enough for a couple tenths here. Pushes us past 5" on the season!

Appreciate your thoughts! Thanks!

Yeah the models always seem to overpredict lake enhancement this far west. It always seems to develop over Lorain/Medina then moves east from there. Not holding out high hopes for that band coming out of SE Michigan but we'll see. I always love reading your posts on the long range outlook. Any chance you'll have a new one up soon? The 12z GFS looks about as brutal as it gets. I know I shouldn't put much stock in the 384 hr. GFS but given the state of the MJO and the AO/NAO it certainly looks believable.

Looks like just under 2" here. Should be the final total. Surprised CLE hasn't killed the WSW for Erie/Huron yet.

Got about 1.2" here. More than I expected.

Line was pretty meh coming through here. Probably barely hit 40 mph. Crazy lightning though.