vpbob21

This looks like a classic early season borderline temperature storm that's going to be a rainer near the lakeshore. I don't know how close to the lake you are but I can see the lake from my window so I'm in the heart of the screwzone. The good thing for you is that even if this one fails you'll have plenty more chances to get slammed. Can't say that here where we only get synoptic snow. This may well be the big event of the entire winter and we're likely to be shut out.

Maybe but I'm not really optimistic. With temperatures as borderline as what's being modeled any wind passing over the lake is probably going to screw the shoreline. I can see myself looking at bare ground while 5 miles inland gets 6-10". Maybe not as brutal as the 12/1/74 storm where amounts went from 1" to 20" across 5 miles (naturally I was on the 1" end) but still a heartbreaker.

I'll take the under on that 9.5" that map shows for me. My feeling is that areas near the lake will be lucky to see anything measurable.

We're all standing at the edge of the cliff waiting for the 12z Euro to tell us it's time to jump ...

That's certainly not the case around here. I had a couple stores I wanted to go to today, but saw completely full parking lots so I just kept on driving.

Southern parts of the SF (at least) may have a shot with Delta. 12z models have moved north quite a bit.

They reached 120 at 11 am today. I'm going to predict a high of 131 today.

Not our sub but Death Valley reached 130 today. Yikes.

I think a lot of that increase can be attributed to the big spike in cases at the Marion Correctional Institution. Marion County has gone from 91 cases to 983 cases in just the last 5 days. What's concerning to me is that the virus finally seems to be moving into rural areas. My county has gone from 5 cases to 28 cases in just the last week. Dewine is talking about opening up the state by May 1 - IMO it is way to early to even be thinking about it.

Line of snow came through and was really lame. Probably 5 minutes or so of 1 mile visibility snow. I was hoping for a quick 1/2 - 1", but not even close. Hope it does better for you guys out east.

Got about 2.5" here, 1" from the synoptic snow then that lake band swung through and dropped another 1.5". Probably as well as we could have expected.

Great analysis OHweather, as always. I mentioned in the main thread that I just find it hilarious that Ottawa/Sandusky/Seneca/Erie/Huron/Lorain/Medina counties are the missing link in an otherwise unbroken string of winter headlines that runs from Montana to Maine. I guess I can't really blame them for not wanting to pull the trigger, knowing how bad our snow climo is around here. I do think some of the counties left out of headlines will eventually be added, especially Lorain and Medina (perhaps even warnings there) and probably the inland counties of Huron, Sandusky and Seneca. The lakeshore counties might be a little more borderline with the warm lake temps cutting into accumulations, but at the least it looks like everyone should get on the scoreboard for the season.

Just walked outside to get the mail and it's downright brutal out there. Sustained winds probably 30 mph with gusts 40-45 mph. We have been in between bands of heavier snow for the last couple hours but according to radar better snow is about to move in. Hard to measure but probably around 2.5" so far here.

1" of snow here in Erie County. Biggest snow of the season so far.

Even my area got on the scoreboard this morning with .5". Didn't expect it.

And then you have TOL at just .30". Amazing the contrast across 100 or so miles. Not sure exactly how much I've had but looking at my lawn I'd say I'm closer to TOL than CLE.

Nothing but a few flakes here. It's amazing how snow goes out of it's way to avoid this area. Congrats to you guys out east.

It actually started out fairly promising with close to an inch falling quickly after the changeover, but then the precip rate slowed and some rain started to mix in and pretty much stayed that way through the rest of the event. I'm pretty used to these really borderline events not producing in November and early December but it really hurts when it happens near the end of the snow season when the lake should be colder. I guess it shows how much the warm temperatures the last couple weeks raised the water temperatures. I think with a mostly frozen lake we would have done a lot better.

You did better than I did. Just over an inch out my way. Only a trace left on the ground this morning.

Only a few tenths out here. Glad to see you guys out east cashing in.

Almost 3" here last night. Looks like I'm just about in the center of the screw zone for tonight's event. Hope the models are wrong!

Around 1" here so far but hard to measure with the blowing and drifting. Looking at radar we should have at least a few more hours of decent snow so hopefully most of us can still pull off a few inches from this.

Got about 1.3" from the clipper then that band came through about an hour ago and dropped another quick .5".

Yeah unless something changes this is really going to underperform. Got about .8" here before the dry slot took over and the snow wrapping back in doesn't look real impressive. I'll probably be lucky to reach 2".

Right around 5" for me. Pleasantly surprised - felt like this system had major bust potential.