CAPE
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Everything posted by CAPE
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Relative to averages I agree. PSU land will still get more snow than the beaches, despite being largely missed by those storms. Maybe 2022 was close. There were places in lower DE that were right around 25" for that winter.
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We can get colder air in a Nina than a Nino. Those big storms in Jan of 17 and 18 were cold powder right on the coast. Jan 22 was a cold month with 3 snowstorms for a good chunk of our region. Beaches did best overall- 17, 18, and 22 all featured 12"+snowtorms for the immediate coast of the MA, with 2 being blizzards. Bit of a short term Nina trend there.
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CFS has been persistent with that feature for awhile, along with the stretched TPV idea. Between the 2 there should be a mechanism to deliver some legit cold at times. Gets going in Dec on latest runs then adds in a little -NAO action for Jan and Feb. For now, we can dream.
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Winters are still good even with little snow because it is a break from the relentless heat and humidity and bugs of our long Summer. Early Fall has been better than usual so far temp wise. If it is a typical Nina winter we will have plenty of dry days for hiking, getting outside projects done, etc. Everyone here should have downward adjusted snowfall expectations at this juncture.
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Go get Juan Soto.
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A top prospect- that's what it takes if you want an impact player in return. Otherwise yeah, you get a Rogers. It will be interesting to see how aggressive the new ownership will be in free agency.
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Elias needs to start making some major deals and stop protecting every prospect. This organization needs to move beyond the rebuilding mode. This- What's next for Orioles after another early playoff exit? Baltimore must finally be ready to win now https://www.cbssports.com/mlb/news/whats-next-for-orioles-after-another-early-playoff-exit-baltimore-must-finally-be-ready-to-win-now/
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Pretty good article here. Ghiroli: The Orioles’ honeymoon is over, and their front office needs to find answers https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/5814242/2024/10/03/orioles-2024-wild-card-loss-front-office/
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If they fired Hyde and brought back the same lineup, the problems would still be there. Imo at this point they have too many players that are pretty much the same offensively.
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Adley taking a fastball down the middle with a 2-0 count and the bases loaded was terrible. He is so passive at the plate. Almost never swings at a first pitch. The overall makeup of this team offensively and the ineptitude in key moments when clutch hits are required needs to be examined. There are too many players that don't make good contact/can't seem to identify pitches/ work the count in their favor. Something needs to change, and it probably means making some additions and subtractions.
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I'll finish the month under 2". All the clouds and stagnant, humid air have at least kept the soil from completely drying out again.
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Persistent anomalous h5 ridge in Canada with associated cutoff lows over Atlantic Canada. That combo keeps precip mostly suppressed to our south and west. The battle zone has been right through our region- the further north and east you are, the lower the chance for meaningful rain. The one chance we had was with the rain band on the NE side of Helene, and it just missed. Places like OCMD and points south got a soaking rain. Models didn't do very well with locating that.
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The most impressive returns on radar over here this morning are roost rings.
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As I suspected, as the closed low moves eastward and weakens/opens it looks like any appreciable rain will fall in the higher terrain to the west and then further south as it skirts off the coast. An entire week socked in with clouds and probably end up with less than a quarter inch total here. Plenty of spotty drizzle though!
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Nice game for Justice Hill too. Top receiver with around 80 yds I believe. Need to get the TEs and WRs more involved downfield at some point, but dominating up front and running the ball down the throats of opponents is who the Ravens are.
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The Steelers have been wholly unimpressive, but somehow they are 3-0. Probably will do just enough in the second half to eek out another unimpressive win against a mediocre team.
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The Vikings look legit.
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1.65" for the month. Maybe the slightest chance I can hit 2" with showers associated with the weakening low moving east over the next couple days. The cold front looks pretty dry.
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Feels gross out. 82 and humid af. Stink bugs are back with a vengeance. All over the sunny side of the house. Drinking a beer and offing them with the electrocution swatter. Fucking fun. The more I kill the less I have to spend the winter with inside.
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0.04" here overnight. I knew it was a bust lol. Grand total of 0.12" for the 'event'.
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La Nina But I agree in general. I predict one significant coastal plain snow event. Not a bold call based on recent Nina history.
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Not sure I agree with that. A couple beach blizzard chases in there and a pretty epic January 2022. Gotta be wiling to travel an hour or 2 sometimes. Pretty big differences in sensible weather can occur over relatively short distances in our area.
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Tropical season has been super lame so far for the eastern half of our subforum. Like nonexistent.
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But we have the spotty drizzle to make things interesting.
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Yeah we'll see on that. GFS looks less impressive and Euro more impressive with precip associated with that over recent runs. They have flip flopped. At this point I am just looking forward to the midweek front that clears this stagnant, muggy airmass out of here and brings some nice early Fall weather with actual sunny days.
