CAPE
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Everything posted by CAPE
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Yeah with an amped EPO ridge we have a mechanism to deliver the cold. Having a neutral/slightly -PNA can facilitate shortwaves ejecting eastward further south. Otherwise we need a healthy NS wave to drop south and track underneath. We will need the NAO to be favorable to keep the SE ridge flat/suppressed and most of the guidance is depicting a ridge over GL in the LR.
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yep. fundamental diff eq.
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And those areas go through stretches where its mild and doesn't snow. Anyone who wants cold and snow all winter probably needs to move to northern Maine.
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We had a cold December and it snowed multiple times. Just had a snow squall roll through on Jan 1. Slight chance of snow this weekend. We haven't even sniffed a shut the blinds pattern. Maybe we wont see a flake of snow over the next 2 weeks, but I kind of doubt that. We are due for a milder period and that looks pretty certain. This is how winter goes in these parts. Personally I am looking forward to some days in the 50s. A little tired of the cold and wind.
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Wow that was an impressive squall line. Would have been cool to see.
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Well I missed seeing it happen again but woke up to a coating of snow for the second day in a row. Kinda cool.
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That sounded like Charlie Brown's teacher speaking to him.
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yes and you whine when you don't get the outcome you want.
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And the equations used to describe the atmosphere are quite primitive. Amazing the models perform as well as they do given the complexity of the atmosphere.
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I've been here long enough to know that 'some people' will never learn. Its tiresome.
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More emotional crap from you lol. You don't understand science.
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Weather is complicated and random. Guidance is imperfect. The equations used to represent the atmosphere are not accurate enough to perfectly represent the chaotic nature of large scale fluid mechanics. Deal with it lol.
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All I can do is laugh. I'll admit this place is entertaining.
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GFS wins!!
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HNY. Guess what? Weather is changeable in the midlatitudes. Crazy shit huh?
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Up your way, probably a good bet regardless of which model is more correct.
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Quite the battle between the Euro and the GFS as to the outcome. Its either a nothing burger or a light 1-3" event for at least parts of the region.
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0z GFS continues to keep the NS and SS energy completely separated with no sharpness to the NS shortwave, so no dice.
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HB and HNY! Great way to celebrate both, along with some drinkies.
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One of the best ever. Top 10. HOF. Not quite as good now, but still damn good and even with Lamar on track to start, they better pound the rock.
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12/5: 1.3" 12/14: 1.8" 12/31: 0.2" T: 3.3"
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I did 2 ways. Freaking delicious.
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Who do we trust more here? Love those Brits.
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Yes, and sharper, plus partial phasing. GFS is flatter and weaker with the surface low and doesnt draw in enough cold air because of the lack of interaction/sharpness with the shortwave.
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Easy to see why the Euro has a more favorable outcome than the GFS looking upstairs-
