CAPE
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Everything posted by CAPE
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They aren't going to change anything until late this afternoon is my guess. Snow wont get going here till evening, they have headlines out and advisories in place, and the forecast accumulation ranges on the upper end already cover warning criteria (6 or 7 inches depending on location).
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Looks like most of the region will be upgraded to WSW later. Potential for 6" exists for most places based on latest runs.
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Minus the 12k NAM (Not Happening!), guidance is in pretty darn good agreement.
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ICON and RGEM both look a lil NAMish
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My soil is starting to thaw. Its wet. Melts the snow from below.
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Looks like you might do pretty well there.
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3K NAM is actually in line with recent Euro runs. 4-6" for most, with 8-10" in VA south of DC, southern MD, over to S DE.
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I've upped my bar from 2" to 6.
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Thats 20"+ on the 12km east of I-95.
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Hr 42 death band over my yard lolz.
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Lol our yards look to get crushed even tho we flirt with the 850 mb 0 line as the coastal gets cranking.
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Its going to be a nice event here, but remember the vort is going to become increasingly stretched and gradually weaken is it moves east and encounters confluence. The local forecast offices seem to have a good handle on the high end potential with this. The coastal low is a bit of a wildcard but at this point it seems most of the area wont see much impact from that.
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Given where I live, I always prefer entrenched cold air.
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22/15 Let the radar panic and hallucinations begin.
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24/11 Too cold/dry to snow?
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I wont extrapolate, but I just have a feeling..
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Looks like Easton is right on the 6" line. My yard is closer to 4.
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Not sure where to put this but since the action has shifted to this thread- Fwiw the 18z EPS has the 'local' jackpot zone from lower S MD across the bay to interior Sussex DE. 8-10".
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25/12. Lets roll.
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I am right in that hole over the upper Delmarva. No rain here in 2 weeks. Been running the sprinkler but grass still getting torched. Oh well, pretty used to it, as the rain we get this time of year is of the feast/famine variety. With the high sun and typical July heat, my yard cant survive without water for more than a few days.
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Noticeably dry here in the past week. Soil getting a bit dusty for the first time in months. I think the last big event was a couple weeks ago with the 2 part deal in late March- mostly rain/sleet here for part one and the heavy wet snow for part 2. Been really nothing significant since then. 0.11" for April.
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Yeah the biggest issue with winter drought for most in this forum is it = little snow lol
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Cant imagine its still abnormally dry here, but I guess its possible. I ended up with 3.8" for Jan.
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Southern MD / Lower Eastern Shore weather discussion
CAPE replied to PrinceFrederickWx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Was that the total for the whole event? I saw some reports from southern DE of up to 7" from Friday night alone. I would love to see some other event totals from the lower Delmarva. -
Southern MD / Lower Eastern Shore weather discussion
CAPE replied to PrinceFrederickWx's topic in Mid Atlantic
You might get another 3-6 today.
