CAPE
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Looks to be pretty active over the next several days with a warm to hot and humid air-mass, and some small scale disturbances moving through. Later in the week it appears there will be a cold frontal passage with maybe a marginal severe threat? Anyway, not a boring stretch of weather, and at least some decent rain chances continuing. Might not need the sprinkler this week at all.
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Locally, just about every place around here has probably had more rain, but I am quite content with the 0.80" in my bucket. Does not appear at this point I will see anymore. Should be winding down over the next couple hours in most areas with the loss of daytime heating.
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I will take it if it produces rain without long dry stretches, and keeps prolonged bouts of extreme heat away. Looks like we will see that continue through the end of the month. Remains to be seen how things play out beyond that. We pretty much know the deal in the MA though.
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0.76" so far. This round is winding down. Looks like another batch developing to the SE and moving NW. It has been thundering for more than 4 hours here lol. Not often that happens, especially when for nearly 3 of those hours not a drop of rain fell.
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Low rolling thunder. Heavy rain. Very dark out. Anyone up for a Dark and Stormy?
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If only. I had an Imperial coffee stout tho. Now drinking my cardio medicine- red wine.
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Nah just a law of averages thing. I did very well here last month and early this month. It does seem to always dry out here often when the sun is the strongest though. I am used to my grass going to thatch just about every summer. Raining hard here now, so maybe delayed but not denied
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Definitely losing some intensity as it moves NW. Just get me a half inch lol.
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Finally started raining here, after perpetual thunder for hours. Glad you finally got some decent rain there.
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Crappy quality but I was at 99% on my attachments and wasn't in the mood to delete shiit lol.
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Crazy thunder. Booming and rumbling and propagating from multiple directions. Still in the hole! I think I saw a few drops though.
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Took these less than a half mile from my driveway. Talk about storms all around. Hopefully something will hit here lol. to the NE- To the NW- To the SE-
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Time for a mini chase. Stuff is really popping to my NE, E. and SE. If it manages to miss here, at least I can get some nice cloud shots. Cant see a damn thing here in the woods. Living in the "mini great plains", its very conducive to getting some impressive storm photos.
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Maybe the sun combined with either the outflow boundary from the stuff to the north, or the one moving NW from the coast will pop something here. Grasping at straws, lol. Been awhile since I have heard so much rumbling thunder for so long with no rain. Time to crank up some Blind Melon. I have my Terrapin Imperial coffee stout though as I "track", so I'm good.
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I think some stuff is forming along the bay/sea breeze moving inland across Delaware. Sun is back out here. Lol if I don't see any rain from this, I will have to call it a major bust, given the 80% pops and heavy rain wording. I was skeptical given the tendency for limited/ hit and miss coverage with slow moving pulse type convection. 50% would have been good enough.
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Despite not a drop of rain falling, the temp is 73 with a nice breeze. Feels completely different from this morning. Outflow from the booming storms just to my NW FTW. Rather have some damn rain though.
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Having fun standing here at the end of my driveway watching the lighting, listening to the booming thunder, and seeing torrential rain falling from this bad boy, literally a couple miles to my west. Everything is forming on an axis just west of here, and moving north, for now. Not optimistic. At least it clouded over for a bit, temporarily blocking the searing sun from further burning my grass.
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The CAMs are probably going to generally suck on a day like this in pinpointing where storms fire. In such a weakly forced environment, I would think local boundaries(bay breeze) and terrain effects would be the likely mechanisms for triggering the best convection.
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Going out 10 days- the end of the month- both the GEFS and EPS project this look at h5. Not terrible for here, Probably typical warmth, with the big +temp anomalies further west/northwest. Have to see where the pattern goes from there.
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Plenty of craft breweries/brewpubs up that way you could stop off at after a long hike to get refreshed.
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I was livin right the beginning of the month, but not so much lately. 3.05" for the month, but less than a quarter of an inch the last 10 days.
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Enjoyed lots of thunder last evening from the slow moving storm that moved just south of here then died. Not a drop of rain though. Today might be a bit more interesting with slightly higher dews and pwats. Looks again like the mode will be pulsers that don't move much in very weak flow, so places that get under one could see flash flooding, while places close by get nothing. My sprinkler got a workout yesterday so I am prepared for the likelihood of again being betwixt and between.
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Well we are probably heading into at least a weak Nina for fall/winter, so it kinda fits. If the CFS actually has a clue(which it doesn't at this point), we would see lots of our favorite- cold and dry!
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Have one shot as a nightcap. Don't do multiple shots to get drunk. That's the trick.
