CAPE
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Everything posted by CAPE
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It is busy. Amplified pattern with plenty of vorticity in the flow, and intricate interactions determine the ultimate outcome for our period of interest.
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You need to look at more than a snow map to understand why the modeled snowfall looks this way. Plus this is a total snow map.
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Yes 12z. I think that's what I said lol.
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Euro made a step towards the GFS with phasing in that last piece of NS energy earlier on the 12z run, and it was closer to something decent at the surface, but discombobulated. It takes a bigger step this run I believe.
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Driving to work this morning it felt like I was transported to the northern plains somewhere lol.
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I still have the one from last Jan per your request. This one is a similar view just a bit closer. Perhaps I will change it- it has been a year and deeper snow in this pic lol.
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5 times
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Yeah I made a post about this earlier. Looks to me like the 12z Euro made a step towards the GFS though wrt that NS energy.
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A subtle but seemingly critical difference between the Euro and GFS has to do with timing/degree of interaction with NS shortwave energy(of course) digging southward that's associated with the vorticity lobe south of Hudson. GFS phases some of that energy sooner and acts to pick up the southern low, placing it closer to the coast. Euro is lesser/later with the interaction, so that energy acts so suppress/kick the low offshore.
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1/6/25: 9.3" Total: 9.3"
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One more I took yesterday afternoon doing a Jeb walk to the back edge of the property. Just for you @nj2va
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Nice to have frozen ground preceding the storm. No snow eating from below.
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9.3" total That represents the most I measured otg and not what actually fell had I measured properly. I couldn't be bothered yesterday lol. Might have been another inch but whatever. Plenty of snow.
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6z GEFS
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It can get pretty crazy over here with blowing and drifting in a situation like this with so many wide open farm fields. Seeing little snow devils spin up in the open areas is cool though.
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Slept through most of the ULL snow, but looks like maybe an inch. I'll do an official measurement tomorrow but that would put me over 9".
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18z slightly better
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Intermittent light snow now. Temp up to 27. Just under 8" here so far. A chance for double digits if the UL low has some vigor when it comes though.
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Thought I was getting into a significant lull an hour ago but the way the radar is filling in might avoid it here. Steady light to moderate snow continues.
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Into another heavy band now. Living on the back edge here but seems to be redeveloping a bit.
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Back to a steady light snow after a brief lull. Went out and shoveled the front walk and cleared a path to the Jeep. Snow is pretty light. Easy work.
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That's happening here now. 1.5" in the last hour. Right at 7"
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Firepit area
