CAPE

Yeah plenty of good resources on YouTube on interpreting Skew-T plots, hodographs, etc.

Euro has the same idea but pinches off the low further east and then retrogrades towards the SE coast. Needless to say our area would be quite a bit warmer in that scenario.

0z GFS offers up an interesting look for the midweek period. As the C. US ridge nudges east, it begins to flatten and bridge with a building N Atlantic ridge, sending a closed upper low southward. Would be quite the contrast with much cooler temps and possibly wet across the eastern half of the region.

Low of 53

1 out of every 10 maybe?

72/50 Feels like a quintessential early November day in the MA.

66 here. A couple weak fronts will pass through today bringing the really nice air, and also kick the winds up. Temps probably max out in the lower 70s today for most.

94/71 Tomorrow shall be stellar.

Should be nice by this evening. Even this afternoon with the heat, it will be quite windy and dewpoints will be dropping.

Southern sliders are a miss here.

Not even a 90 degree day in my forecast after today. Upper ridge axis to our west nudges east, gets knocked down by another trough. Repeat. Seasonal trend.

No idea lol. It will show every possible pattern multiple times between now and late Fall. I just took a look and saw what it was advertising and figured it was perfect to post in a winter discussion thread in June.

Only about 800 more runs and we might have a better idea.

Looks/sounds like something decent incoming here in Easton. Everything has missed my yard so far this morning.

Always a good bet. I would disengage now if I were you.

lol @ op runs at range Given the look of the longwave pattern on the means, temps will moderate next week as the upper ridge nudges east, but I will take the under on those temps. Whatever heat we get, it again looks to be pretty short lived, and I would expect a few days in the low 90s with the big heat staying to our SW. Ofc with flow more out of the west downsloping (compressional heating) could boost temps some. Should be a dry heat. Before we all fry next week, the upcoming weekend looks incredible, much like the weather we enjoyed the weekend before last.

That's been me lately lol. The worm has turned? Until the next mini drought.

Still getting some light to moderate rain on the backside of that complex. Up to 1.73".

It developed a miniature comma head as it moved through my area. Those areas just to my west that were under it had 3"+

Places not far from me received over 3" from that line/complex of storms. If you saw it on radar it definitely had some vorticity to it. Leftover MCV maybe interacting with the frontal boundary.

1.47" No watering for awhile.

Maybe the best storm here all Spring/Summer. Deluge. Plenty of T&L. Very little wind so far.

Pretty impressive line of storms approaching here now. Noisy.

That might be a good thing. Get some surface heating and hope remnant energy from the MCS carcass can trigger something.

Another decent looking line goes poof on the doorstep lol. Heard some good rumbles of thunder and now some drizzle.