CAPE

Maybe but the radar doesn't have that look. More likely some drier air working in and probably not ideal upstairs in the DGZ.

Actually just ok. Oddly the radar looks good but what's actually falling is pretty light. Might be 2 inches since I went to bed. Once I wake up a bit I will venture out. Temp is 23.

Midnight obs- 30 degrees moderate snow 4" Time to get some sleep.

Wind picking up a bit now.

Indeed it will. Enjoying the snow here but it will not compare to the experience down there. Should be similar to 2018 but with higher wind gusts.

Back to moderate snow with medium sized flakes after an hour or so of light stuff. Temp down to 30. Just about 3" now.

Yeah at this point toss the models and just watch it happen. I haven't looked at the radar at all, other than seeing HM's tweet lol. I was like wow that's what just came through and gave me an inch per hour for 2 hours.

That was a great couple hours here to kick it off.

2.5" Back to a steady light snow for now.

1.5" at 7pm. Was thinking it would just get going at this point so a nice surprise.

Sodium chloride + 32F + light snow( I know, you said moderate)

So calm out there now with the snow coming down. It will be interesting to watch this transition to a much colder, blustery storm as the coastal starts to ramp up.

You should be in OC!

Big fluffy dendrites coming down now. Approaching +SN.

31 and moderate snow now. Looks like a half inch. Pretty out there.

Mount Holly AFD.. not Boston, but not too shabby for the coastal areas locally. Tonight is when we will be getting into the real meat of this storm. The forecast models are now in good overall agreement tracking rapidly deepening low pressure NNE from off the SE coast to a point near or just south of "The benchmark" (40 degrees latitude north / 70 degrees west) by 12z Saturday. Snow will become more widespread and increase in intensity south to north through the evening hours. Northerly winds will ramp up with time as well. The end result is that by the overnight period, snow, becoming heavy at times will encompass much of the area near and S/E Of the I-95 corridor with the increasing winds resulting in blowing snow and reduced visibilities. Hence the Blizzard Warning for the coast. Also, by the predawn hours of Saturday, northern edge of snow will be getting into our far N/W counties but still expecting much less snowfall here. For Saturday, low will be due east of the area off the coast as it continue to rapidly deepen and move northeast. This will result in blizzard conditions continuing near the coast as wind gusts will be up to 50 mph with snowfall rates 1-2 inches per hour at times as our coastal zones will be in the intense snowfall band on the N/W side of the storm. The snow won`t be quite as heavy but still heavy at times back towards the I-95 corridor (including Philly) with rates here even getting to around 1 inch per hour at times along with winds gusting 30 to 40 mph. The snow continues through the morning before then starting to diminish with time from west to east across the area as we get into the afternoon. However the very strong winds will continue through the afternoon as the storm pulls away aided by the cold advection pattern in its wake with winds shifting from north to NW. For this reason, blowing/drifting snow will likely continue in places right through the day, especially near the coast.

Just read that. 5" per hour rates and 30" totals in places. Goddamn. The NAM realized.

the better models.

Or look outside. Hand wringing over radar is more fun though I guess.

The last time I had a double digit snow was 2016. (got close earlier this month). This will likely be the third(maybe fourth?) time places right along the MD/DE coast have seen double digit snow totals since 2017, and the second legit blizzard in that timeframe. Pretty interesting as those areas get far less snowfall overall.

Don't look at it.

It is now snowing outside. No radar watching, and absolutely no shits to give about what the god awful HRRRRRRRRRRR thinks is going to happen, which changes as rapidly as it updates. This Chocolate milk coffee stout from Black Flag is pretty good.

Steady snow continues here and now seeing some bigger flakes mixing in. All surfaces coated other than the roads. Temp down to 32.

I am sure I will regret not going to the beach.