CAPE
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Everything posted by CAPE
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No idea.
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LOL SF tried to give it away.
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how bout dem cowboys?
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Mid-Atlantic forum winter 2021/22 snow totals thread
CAPE replied to North Balti Zen's topic in Mid Atlantic
1/3/22- 9.5" 1/7/22- 3.2" 1/16/22- 0.8" Total: 13.5" -
33 and rain! Overall did better than I expected. A little padding for the snow total.
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30.5 and freezing rain, although I don't think icing is going to be an issue here. Should be above freezing in another hour or so.
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That's a function of the highly amplified (and progressive) pattern. Anticyclonic wave breaking is going to send chunks of the TPV southward, and timing is everything. Its volatile. Then when those vortices rotate out and up into the NA, wave breaking can induce a big transient ridge in the NAO space. That was a radical ass GFS run. Turbulent flow on the largest scale. Love it. Buckle up!
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Big flakes with sleet mixed in here now. Temp holding at 29. About 3/4" of frozen stuff.
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Verbatim that run had a nice snowstorm with some deep winter after.
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Yeah and it shows the range of possibilities in this pattern. A coastal hugger/inland track is even on the table with the progressive flow and so much NS energy digging.
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Mount Holly didn't get the forecast quite right here lol. Yeah it might be 39 before midnight but the afternoon/evening forecast is busted... This Afternoon Rain. High near 39. East wind around 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
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Moderate snow with sleet mixed in now.
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I think the GFS is all alone with the sneaky Thursday wave but it has been persistent.
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We just can't know. Kinda fun.
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About a half inch of snow and still snowing. Temp holding at 29. Those yellow/orange radar returns on the SW doorstep are either really heavy snow or sleet. I will bet on the latter lol.
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With all the vorts flying around in the NS and digging south I am not sure it matters. The GFS almost got it done at 12z with a sw dropping in over top the western ridge and left most of that southwest energy behind. It's active and difficult to know what piece(s) of energy end up being 'the ones' at this juncture.
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Stiff east wind and moderate snow with decent sized flakes. Still 29. Surprised its holding on here.
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Aren't we in MA polar night now?
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Leftover snowpack refreshed! Wind picking up now with steady light to moderate snow and temp down to 29. Overperformer so far. Going from this to wind driven rain and temps in the 40s will be interesting.
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I stayed at Rehoboth beach in DE. I think the total was around 14" but so much drifting I couldn't tell. It was epic though.
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Steady light snow with a nice coating and temp down a degree to 30. I will enjoy it while it lasts. I can see the sleet on the radar to the southwest. Y'all further inland enjoy this one. The first week of Jan was pretty sweet here, so no complaints.
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There are degrees of everything. That offshore tracking 'bomb cyclone' in 2018 was an all out blizzard on the immediate coast, but still produced a moderate 6" storm at my house. Obviously I chose to drive an hour to experience the blizzard.
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Very light snow falling here with the temp up to 31. Maybe I can get an hour or so of frozen before the warm air intrusion aloft commences.
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Speaking of the week of the 24th- the GEFS also wants to develop a transient east based 'block' during that period. Not seeing that at all on the EPS.
