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CAPE

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Everything posted by CAPE

  1. CAPE
    18z EPS was better, but still not good.
  2. CAPE
    Nice! Enjoy. I might be looking for a "next" career soon. Maybe you can hook me up.
  3. CAPE
    Jeez I hope not!
  4. CAPE
    Yeah I would go with an A here for Jan, I can't recall a better one in many years. December was awful as usual, and February has sucked other than still having snow otg for the first few days.
  5. CAPE
    We need trends! I'm good with this for now, in addition to the 120 I am sipping on. Pretty decent HH.
  6. CAPE
    That's the problem with the 'less digging' idea with the NS vort- the cold will lag behind. Need more interaction sooner- and this run did it somewhat, but not enough.
  7. CAPE
    Better
  8. CAPE
    Some slight improvement in the Southern sw and the NS vort lobe looks to be dropping in a tad more westward on HH GFS. Probably not enough but lets see.
  9. CAPE
    What's happening to the early March highly touted big potential window? Here we go. Just shifted a few days. And a better look up top! This is the one.
  10. CAPE
    EPS is too. We got ourselves a cold frontal passage!
  11. CAPE
    The Canadians say no at 12z. Enjoy the Euro run y'all. I have one of those 'play nice in the workplace' deals to attend for like the 30th time. Always need refreshers on how to behave professionally.
  12. CAPE
    The thread title could use a little revising maybe. I simply identified this as a window for a possible sneaky wave behind the late week storm that had fail written all over it. I was already looking ahead. The Great CAPE storm is a little hyperbolic. (That one happened in early January. )
  13. CAPE
    We do have a thread for digital snow. I suggested a while back that is the place they should be deposited until we have a discrete threat(and dedicated thread).
  14. CAPE
    Ok, on to the Euro. The goal is to get back to a weak sauce storm.
  15. CAPE
    Those runs were pretty juiced up too with over an inch of precip not too far south. The qpf for the snow area was 0.50-0.65". If that's weak sauce, I like weak sauce.
  16. CAPE
    Doesn't have to be a qpf bomb, at least for me. Rates and time of day matter more. The 12z/18z GFS simulations of yesterday had 4-6" (10:1) from the DC area across to central DE. I'd take that.
  17. CAPE
    We have gone from this.. To this over the past few runs We may need a new player to show up lol
  18. CAPE
    It is slightly better, so a small step maybe. Not sure we are going to get back to that earlier/deeper/wester dig of the NS energy like we were seeing yesterday.
  19. CAPE
    So far looks more like 0z/6z than the 18z run yesterday.
  20. CAPE
    27-28th actually
  21. CAPE
    Probably a few more bad model cycles, then we get reeled back in with some "changes" in the interplay between key features.
  22. CAPE
    Start a thread. One of 2 things HAS to happen apparently- we completely kill it with the dreaded jinx, or positive mojo/reverse jinx happens and we get buried.
  23. CAPE
    I generally concur with this assessment. Last winter the impact of HL blocking was largely mitigated due to the complete lack of legitimate cold in our source region.
  24. CAPE
    3 consecutive Ninas.. some here might need to consider therapy lol.
  25. CAPE
    Don't forget the crappy GFS.
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