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CAPE

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Everything posted by CAPE

  1. CAPE
    Seeing some nice banding develop over S DE on radar. Any reports? @AlexD1990
  2. CAPE
    It's fatigue from the massive model tease and ultimate missed opportunity. We need a break, and we will get it. 50s next week. Cant wait. But its not over dude.
  3. CAPE
    Heavy dusting in Easton. By the time I got home there was just a trace and a few random flakes flying.
  4. CAPE
    Light snow in Easton.
  5. CAPE
    Interesting tidbit from Mount Holly AFD this morning- Confidence in the synoptic snow amounts is fairly high in that we`ll see generally low snow totals but some ensemble members do show the potential for a higher impact mesoscale band to develop over portions of southern Delaware. The WPC Snowband Prototype shows at least one band from the HREF moving into Sussex County DE. If this does occur, rates could reach or exceed 1"/hour with snow quickly accumulating for a time. This is of low confidence.
  6. CAPE
    0z EPS has a Miller B look for the 27-28th window. GEFS favors LP tracking to our north.
  7. CAPE
    lol how long is the PSU window exactly? A month? His storm failed.
  8. CAPE
  9. CAPE
    Or the antithesis of skill
  10. CAPE
    Just for prosperity. The run that the NAM completely caved, hard. Epically collapsed. As we all knew it would. It wasn't going to be incremental lol.
  11. CAPE
    Lets enhance vehicle corrosion for no reason. I doubt our latitude sees more than a dusting.
  12. CAPE
    Some maps here wrt Nina historical snowfall https://www.climate.gov/news-features/blogs/enso/revisiting-la-nina-and-winter-snowfall
  13. CAPE
    It's not doing the NAM thing. NS is all kicker, no capture.
  14. CAPE
    Well if it is onto something (and not on something), the better guidance should pick up on it over the next model cycle or 2.
  15. CAPE
    What the NAM is/has been doing is phasing in the NS energy just a bit more and sooner, which pulls the low a little closer to the coast as it tracks ENE, rather than it completely escaping and tracking eastward further south.
  16. CAPE
    Not 100 percent. Only because the nest has a similar idea.
  17. CAPE
    The NAM is telling us something.. put me out to pasture.
  18. CAPE
    Maybe 0z lol
  19. CAPE
    Welp
  20. CAPE
    Seeing late day sun shooting straight through the sidelights on my front door tells my brain Spring is really close.
  21. CAPE
    NBM is still suggestive of low end warning criteria. NWS likes to use that product when making forecasts.
  22. CAPE
    We need a Modoki Nino next winter in a big way.
  23. CAPE
    Just over 12" here for 18-19. That one was frustrating lol. The one storm that was supposed to jack here was a big fail. DC area jacked instead.
  24. CAPE
    It was 14-15 for me(or 13-14- maybe both lol). I was within an inch in 2022 and the same currently for this winter(19.6). Because the Jan 2016 blizzard was a half storm here(only 15") didn't even get close that winter.
  25. CAPE
    I'm hoping for an inch or 2. Current forecast here is exactly that btw. That would get me solidly over 20". Got very close in 2022, and fell a few inches short in both 2017 and 18, which were the next best winters in recent years. Last time over 20 was 2015.
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