CAPE
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Everything posted by CAPE
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He was banned from this subforum. So nice to have him back though, contributing nothing useful. Weenies on every post!
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Legit dusting here this morning, but only ranks third behind the quarter inch event of a few weeks back and the Arctic flizzard around Xmas. What a winter.
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Complex evolution with a low developing over the Gulf stream then bombing as it interacts with the NS energy. Possibly some convective feedback issues in there.
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Stronger signal than 0z.
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Surface high is exiting stage right on the mean. If there is going to be a storm this period, the inland higher terrain would obviously be favored for frozen.
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6z GEFS. Not a bad look.
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What makes it work is constructive rather than destructive NS interaction. Good timing/location with the vorticity lobe sliding across southern Hudson Bay- creates some nice confluence and enhances surface HP in a favorable location.
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Not sure there is ever a case to pay much attention to the 12km NAM.
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I mean there is still a chance over the next 10 days or so. Like 5%. We have momentum for complete futility though. No reason to think fortunes will change heading towards April lol.
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Philly. It sucks ass there too. Either way, anyone posting in this sub gets lumped in with the rest of us snow losers.
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Not really. It's Spring lol. We are 0-fer the entire winter. It really is over, but we just refuse to accept it till it's mid April or something.
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Just a generally cloudy day here, with some sun bleeding through at times. Currently 43. Chilly and quite nice. Been outside doing Spring things.
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Something is different here. Not like the others. Could still morph into a completely different look, because ya know, 10 days out.
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That is not a "suppressed" storm. It snows all the way up the coast to SNE.
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lol what?
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This idea isn't really new. The overall pattern on the means has looked the best for this period, with the possibility of a healthy southern wave ejecting eastward and maybe not having a NS wave eff it up this time.
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Yeah 18z is slightly improved. Pretty decent signal for frozen compared to 12z.
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Another futile endeavor.
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Back outside to do Spring things.
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wave 6?
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See what this does. WOW a HP nosing down. lol.
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Waves 5 and 6 are the ones to watch.
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So many potential failures, er waves. Hard to keep track.
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If the GFS is correct Central NC will probably have more snow for the winter than any place east of the mountains in our area lol.
