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CAPE

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Everything posted by CAPE

  1. CAPE
    Nice answer by the offense.
  2. CAPE
    I fully expected them to be flat. That's just what they do against teams they should crush on paper.
  3. CAPE
    Lol Ravens. Nice way to start against an inferior opponent.
  4. CAPE
    79 here, and more humid than yesterday. Looks like mid 70s tomorrow(at least early) before the cooler air starts filtering in.
  5. CAPE
    Perpetual leaf drop from some of the oak trees the last couple days, mostly the white oaks. Seems early.
  6. CAPE
    Putrid outside. Worse than yesterday here. Can't wait for this hellish airmass to GTFO here.
  7. CAPE
    I suppose it's time for Ji to start a digital snow thread.
  8. CAPE
    Just in general: Nina= Aleutian ridge = -PNA Nino = Aleutian low = +PNA Plenty of other variables/modulators though, so these teleconnections are far from locked in or static. With the overall increase in ocean heat content, this stuff becomes even harder to predict.
  9. CAPE
    There are always variations, but the short answer is yes.. it leads to a +PNA.
  10. CAPE
    Yeah it has been awhile, outside of a brief flizzard that some of us saw last year.
  11. CAPE
    Probably lol. As usual, patience will be required. Mid Jan into early March will likely be our wheelhouse, if there is to be one.
  12. CAPE
    It's all about how the atmosphere responds now. This is going to be a moderate to maybe strong event by the numbers, but that doesn't mean all that much at this juncture. PDO trend is encouraging. Lets see if the Aleutian low can get established, and in a favorable location. Pretty important in order for us to get the outcome we all want.
  13. CAPE
    It's finally time to stop tracking ENSO for most of us. We got us a Nino, now lets see what it can do.
  14. CAPE
    Not sure the lowlands see first flakes as the GFS op has been suggesting, but nice to see h5 looks like this in the near term. A month later this might be pretty interesting. As it stands, the western highlands may very well see some snow during these 2 periods.
  15. CAPE
    Lots of color, but not as vibrant as last Fall. Plenty of leaf blowing from now through the end of November.
  16. CAPE
    High of 77 here. This is pretty gross. Looking forward to mid-late next week.
  17. CAPE
    Looks like a frosty morning across the area next Thursday as the unseasonably warm weather finally abates and a series of cold fronts move through.
  18. CAPE
    Need some Fall HH beer talk up in here. Who is drinking what? Really like the DFH PA Tuxedo with the spruce notes. Very much a Fall season Pale Ale. Drinking a Utopias barrel aged 120 min IPA atm. Complex and totally delicious. Buzzing.
  19. CAPE
    I agree. Been mostly bad luck for places along the fall line and just west lately wrt climo snowfall. The worm shall turn, and mostly likely it occurs in a Nino.
  20. CAPE
    Interestingly, that area has done very well in recent Ninas. Jan of 17 and 18( I chased both), and again multiple times in Jan of 22. Two blizzards and 2 other storms of 10" plus. Maybe Ninos generally aren't cold enough anymore for the immediate coast, outside of a +PNA/-EPO pattern with cross polar flow.
  21. CAPE
    One coastal storm with a somewhat offshore track and some cold in place-historically pretty common in a Nino- could dump a foot or more of snow right along the coast. That 0-6" call for that area busts with a single event. Ofc that is a DC focused 'forecast', so no one would really notice or care.
  22. CAPE
    Would take a hell of a lot of concrete to overwhelm the microclimate out there lol.
  23. CAPE
    Boilerplate, generally a bit below climo across the entire region, although for DC itself that would be a good outcome. Very lazy effort. No attempt to capture subtleties/tendencies in Nino winter patterns.
  24. CAPE
    Do it
  25. CAPE
    That's how it works around here with a moderate CP Nino and strong -AO/NAO. At least it used to.
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