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CAPE

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Everything posted by CAPE

  1. CAPE
    Straight off the latest GFS op. Gotta be right.
  2. CAPE
    I grabbed that from Google images lol, but I am going to pour it in a glass like that(minus the logo)
  3. CAPE
    About to open this bad boy for HH. Got it for 22 bucks which is a actually a bargain.
  4. CAPE
    Awesome. It really is worth it, and even 12 bucks a bottle isn't really out of line. Get it cold, then sip it slow, and savor it- as it warms and opens up, the complex notes become more apparent. Enjoy it!
  5. CAPE
    The potential storm for the 5th is showing signs of being a southern slider. Have to see about temps but the snow mean has ticked up to our south. I made a post this morning illustrating why this storm may track further south, or even dampen/weaken as it moves towards the SE coast. Long way to go though, and lots of details to be worked out.
  6. CAPE
    High of 73. 69 now.
  7. CAPE
    72 bugs frogs TORCH!
  8. CAPE
    68
  9. CAPE
    Could head out to Canaan to chase an inch?
  10. CAPE
    62 here. Was 57 when I went to bed. I hear frogs.
  11. CAPE
    0z GEFS- pretty strong signal for low pressure off the southeast coast for the 5th.
  12. CAPE
    The amplifying Hudson ridge and associated wave break forces a lot of vorticity southward, developing a strong vortex underneath. This may ultimately act to dampen/force southward the shortwave ejecting eastward for the Feb 5th potential. This is still pretty far out so hard to know details, but the general idea looks similar on the GEFS. These wave (breaking) interactions help to evolve the HL pattern from an amped central Canada ridge into a developing -NAO.
  13. CAPE
    Latest extended products(Euro, GFS, CMC) all have that look for around PD.
  14. CAPE
    Such toxicity in this thread! (looking at you, Yoda) And for what? It's not even a real event.
  15. CAPE
    This has been showing up on guidance for awhile now. Probably our first legit shot at something, despite marginal cold air availability.
  16. CAPE
    These super LR tools can't 'see' discrete threats. Only thing they are good for is indicating the general longwave pattern. From that, we can glean the potential for cold and snow. Goddamn snow maps lol.
  17. CAPE
    We need a new thread! Tracking the wrong damn thing.
  18. CAPE
    More dig further west under the anticyclonic wave break compared to 12z, and we get this.
  19. CAPE
    I can see this is gonna be fun. Not even HH yet. Someone might want to ban me from this thread.
  20. CAPE
    NAM onboard
  21. CAPE
    Latest blend.
  22. CAPE
    Lamar needs to prove he can get it done against snow tv. Mahomes won't make it easy though.
  23. CAPE
    I chased an early Jan beach blizzard at Rehoboth in 2017. Got 5-6" in my yard from that storm, and there was a couple other smaller events. Wasn't awful, at least over here.
  24. CAPE
    No way to know the exact character of the ENSO event or how the winter will play out. Get a few weeks where the Aleutian ridge morphs into a -EPO and we might have a January 2022 type period.
  25. CAPE
    Best model ever.
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