CAPE

12z GFS looks a bit more interesting with low pressure off the SE coast that gets squeezed northwestward as a sprawling area of HP in eastern Canada shifts southeastward into the Gulf of Maine. Verbatim it's a glancing blow for southeastern parts of our region.

Cloudy with a bit of mist. 69 Sure feels different than this time yesterday.

At this juncture we are probably looking at a weak Nina possibly transitioning to neutral as winter progresses. The orientation/location of the HP near the Aleutians is going to be a major factor in the winter outcome, specifically wrt cold air delivery to the midlatitudes of the central/eastern US. New CanSIPS has the general look we want for getting cold air nearby, and the rest is getting some luck with shortwaves along the boundary. This longwave pattern has been pretty common in recent winters, so we know how this works.

He was gonna go somewhere. I guess no one wanted Sugano? On a one year deal the O's would have dealt him if there was interest. Odd as he has pitched better recently and overall has had a pretty decent year. 8-5, 4.38 era..

0.63" Meh. A forecast bust if that's it, but it is what it is. Good month overall. 7.55"

The forecast of 1-2 inches for tonight looks pretty unlikely here given current radar and the latest HRRR runs. At this point I would be happy with another half inch, but even that might be a stretch.

0.47" from the first batch. Need more.

Could be a good test of all the improvements that have been implemented to reduce stormwater runoff.

Sounds like the Os might get as many as 6 prospects back based on early reports.

Ridgely Mesonet station 3 miles to my SW picked up three quarters of an inch in 20 mins. Up to 0.32" here in about 20 mins.

Mostly moderate rain here on the northern edge. Hopefully more to come later. T&L is pretty impressive though.

Yeah the northern edge has filled in some. We shall see.

Yeah but he is a utility player and his offensive numbers are down. Os don't lack young infielders. One thing I like with these trades is we are getting young pitchers in return.

I would think Sugano too, if there are any takers. He hasn't pitched that well lately.

Looks like Easton is getting crushed with this first batch. When I left work it looked ominous. Here at home, looks like I might catch a shower on the northern edge.

Os trade Cedric Mullins to the Mets for 3 prospects. This has been speculated about for over a month. Not surprising. O'Hearn next? Makes sense.

Notably darker when I am leaving for work in the morning, around 10 min before sunrise. Beginning of the month the sun was already up for 15 mins. Winter is coming.

Not sure why anyone bothers to debate this dude. Futile. Let him keep posting his flawed agenda driven data. I'm sure he will start replying to himself.

Almost 7" for the month here and already dry af. 5 days without rain this time of year and its like it never rained lol. All the trees and super well drained soil..

He might only miss a a game or 2.

https://www.nfl.com/news/ravens-te-isaiah-likely-surgery-broken-bone-foot-miss-around-six-weeks Ravens TE Isaiah Likely to undergo surgery on broken bone in foot, miss around six weeks Crap news, but Ravens are deep at TE and I think Andrews is on a mission after that Buffalo game. Lets hope this doesn't become another Training camp injury epidemic.

He literally needs to move a mountain. Or move.

Now do @EastCoast NPZ

Maybe they can get a prospect for Cano lol. Coulda been a 4 game sweep.

Snippet from Mount Holly AFD Juicy