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CAPE

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Everything posted by CAPE

  1. These epic h5 looks don't always translate into actual desired results. Devil will be in the details.
  2. Has Ralph already cracked? Haven't seen any posts lately.
  3. Nice stretch of dry weather over the next week or so with temps near normal. I'll enjoy it and get some outside pre-Spring work done, and prepare for the deep winter period that will follow.
  4. At this point temps are conceivably cold enough to snow, but most of the energy is from the NS. That is a function of the coupled PNA/EPO in conjunction with the developing -NAO, and the stretched TPV in between. STJ looks poised to eject some waves eastward beyond this period.
  5. No road salt. They just deal with it.
  6. The 10th-15th looks NS dominant-doesn't mean we can't score a bit of frozen in that window. Once the h5 pattern really starts getting good just beyond mid month, we may have to wait a few more days before the STJ gets juiced up again and starts sending waves our way.
  7. Jealous of the Winchester crew maybe lol. Not here. The snow fell heavily while it lasted, but it was like 32 and went straight to heavy rain. Pretty gross.
  8. That storm sucked for eastern areas. Had about 8" here then rain, but it wasn't that warm lol. About 40. At the end the cold came back in and the 3" of slop that was left froze solid. Not even a top 20 on my list.
  9. One of my favorite March storms- March 5-6 2015. It was 0F when I took this photo that morning. Highs were in the mid 20s that day and I went on a great hike at Tuckahoe. We can get deep winter in March, even over here.
  10. These poor folks. They never look at models hoping to see digital blue. They can't wait until late March when it starts to rain.
  11. Quite the contrast between the humble Andrews and the asshole TE from KC who is spending all his free time on talk shows raging and cursing a HoF kicker. He should get checked out. Maybe onset of CTE.
  12. Agree. Something either side of VD is still on the table but for now the means favor north. The advertised pattern evolution supports increased chances for our region beginning around PD.
  13. It did, but we were on the southern edge and had some luck. I would take a duplicate of that with a little more contribution from the southern stream. An active STJ with a quieter NS would be better for the big dog hunters.
  14. Yeah I made a couple posts about that period. Looks convoluted with NS energy involved. No way to know how it will go at this juncture. Could end up a Miller B/hybrid deal. Currently on the ens means everything looks a bit too north for us mid month.
  15. These drool worthy patterns have failure modes same as imperfect/flawed ones often give us a path to victory. In a Nino the stacked PNA/EPO ridge can complicate things.
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