CAPE

Jan and esp Feb look quite acceptable on the latest run. Beginning of winter is likely gonna suck so who cares about the 3 month maps. Best chance for a big East coast snowstorm will probably be mid Jan to mid Feb, but Dec is(subjectively) a modest improvement at h5 over the July run.

The white hot Red Sox just kicked their asses. Incredible turn around for them. They could win the pennant, as weak as the AL is.

Povich! Yeah it was against the lowly Angels. But still. Watch the fire sale Os go on a run now lol. I have to root against it because Elias needs to fail miserably. The con man/gas lighter needs to go.

Just caught the tail end of it as I was pulling into my driveway.

Need more cowbell, er, I mean more WW WB CFS maps posted. This just doesn't cut it.

1.12" for the event. No complaints.

Yeah pretty good given they invested in Basallo and Adley has really been mediocre/often hurt for a season and a half now. Os put him on the IL because they didn't want to play him and risk more serious injury prior to the deadline. They knew multiple teams were in desperate need for a catcher who can hit(sometimes). Hate to give the Os front office ANY credit but this was pretty well played. We shall see if any of these prospects end up being impactful, but it's yet another waiting game. Os are perpetually in the "we will be great in a few years" mode. Elias' best 'skill' is gaslighting. The arrogant bastard has been at it for 8 years.

Agree, but its a season long thing. What's his record now, 4-10? Could be 10-4 lol

For the most part all of these seasonal/climate models are depicting a boilerplate Nino wrt the h5 height anomalies. Basically we can see its gonna be a Nino and not a Nina lol. Beyond that, the devil will be in the details and we just can't know yet.

If you want to be adventurous, try Dolly Sods. Very rugged and very unique for the area and has a Canada vibe- 'Features rare sphagnum bogs, heath barrens, and stunted red spruce trees typical of Canada rather than the mid-Atlantic.' Rough ride up from Canaan Valley but lots of trails and a great view east from Bear rocks, at about 4000 ft. Also check out Seneca Rocks. Not a long hike up but steep so a decent workout and a great view.

Baz is such a hard luck pitcher. Their second best starter but gets horrible run support and shoddy defense behind him. The Orioles are what they are. Mediocre at best.

It looks pretty damn close to current reality at initialization, and then evolves to more of basin wide event as winter progresses. Who's to say it doesn't have the right idea? And yes, Chuck- -PNA

That's not typically a thing in an El Nino. And on a smoothed climate model depicting a long wave pattern over a 3 month period months in the future, the only thing that can be gleaned is the general idea and its somewhat subjective. There isn't really a notable signal for a -NAO on this panel imo. A -EPO.. yes.

Still seeing the colder than avg surface temps in the northern plains like the previous run. Looking at each month Feb is coldest. The EPO ridge is more amped in JFM and with the advertised TPV position there is a mechanism for cold air delivery from the Polar region, similar to last months edition. The latest CFS looks warmish for Dec and Jan but then quite cold for Feb and March, due to a strong west based -NAO and a weaker/better positioned Aleutian low. All just speculation at this point, but I would expect an overall mild winter with the possibility of timing some cold with a disturbance in the southern stream a time or 2.

I have been incrementally replacing bad deck boards for the last few years. I finally got tired of it(with all the other shit I have to do lol) and contracted a local 'handyman' 2 man company to finish replacing the boards. I should have thought of you! Anyway after the boards age a bit(pressure treated pine) I would like to put a transparent tinted stain on. What do you recommend? I will gladly save that job for you if you want to do it. The 'older' boards have grayed a bit and will need a wash. I won't be home on Sunday btw.