CAPE

Magnesium supplements usually do the trick. I was taking it for muscle recovery and sleep. But then I found out it had a side effect lol, at least for me. Dose dependent. I backed it off and now ok.

or a nap? maybe a RAP?

No. Some prefer the AI models(also accessible). They aren't physics based in the traditional sense. So I am referring to the 'traditional' model guidance. Euro imo is superior to GFS, CMC, etc.

The legit cold is gone for now. This storm is a thread the needle deal. We might get some decent cold back for the last week of the month. Latest trends on the ensembles aren't the best, but still time.

There's your freebie. Ok back to my thread before the whinging begins.

Still pretty close to something decent for somewhere in our region. Stay vigilant.

Yeah its a weakling until it gets further offshore. No phase at h5- the NS wave sharpens but too late and doesn't go negative in time.

Don't forget the pure heavy snow event for eastern NC while we smoked cirrus. We missed that one and have had nothing since. Piss and moan over- at least i am in the appropriate thread for it lol.

Even that starts upstairs.

High of 42

I should have posted that in the other thread because most here only care about the surface- specifically snow maps. It all happens upstairs.

Disparity. Which one is closer to reality? Time will tell. A strong jet streak upstream amplifies the trough on the Euro. Not so much on the GFS.

I have 6" log outer walls- R value isnt the best but not as relevant because of the high thermal mass(heat storing capability).

lol DT. He is still relevant?

Snow has melted off the outdoor furniture, some on the roof, and on the deck. Not so much on the frozen ground. Still full coverage around 5" most places.