CAPE

LOL at the 'disagrees'. Do I really need to translate this post? AI is becoming prolific, like it or not. There is always the bad- something practical impacting consumers is AI is driving up the price of memory. If you need a new digital device, might want to buy one now. I bought a new computer a week ago on a deal.

Exactly. Its early. I said the same thing and posted some graphics to illustrate. I guess the snow maps provide more support, but they will be constantly posted going forward now, and when they don't look so good...

Plenty to like. Starting with the 500 mb pattern. Confluence to the north and height lines oriented SW to NE, with a flattened SE ridge. Great look for the MA and folks in the SE should pay attention too. Add the +Precip anomalies from mid south-Tennesse Valley into into the MA, and colder than avg temps. I didn't even look at snow maps(no need to) when I made my earlier post about this period. Potential is there, we just need an event or 2 to actually materialize.

lol so what? AI is the shit. Its everywhere for everything.

Not saying we wont see snow before this- I think we will- but this period offers a favorable h5 look for our region to get snow.

6z GEFS suggests 1-2" for a good chunk of the area for "my" storm.

That's about right, with a bit more in eastern NC and the Gulf Coast states lol. Need some changes upstairs or this is gonna be at best a glancing blow. Surface low pressure forms offshore.

He is a weird coach. But he has gotten to 2 superbowls and won one in the last few years.

I don't hate the Eagles, but the Niners are tough to even be in the playoffs. They have a great coach, and the reason I want Klint Kubiak as coach of the Ravens is because he is from the Shanahan tree, plus he became the OC under Mike Macdonald, who the ravens should have made HC instead of letting him walk. Plus he made Sam Darnold look really good and less mistake prone, which is a major accomplishment lol.

He is a top tier HC in the league.

Hard not to pull for them with all the injuries they have/have had all season.

Wow what a play by the Niners.

Still a week or so out so more of a chance the current runs don't have the actual outcome figured out.

Fresh cod is wonderful.

I wouldn't give up yet. As we all know sometimes models struggle with these 'oddly' evolving events, only to bring them back later. As I posted, the 18z GEFS looks pretty much the same as 12z. Not much different at all.