CAPE

The EPS and CMC ens are very similar with snow amounts across the region. Have the heavier precip just off/along the coast to the NE.

When I left for work it wasn't doing anything and around a quarter inch fell overnight. Looking at radar its been pouring at my house. Actually training. I'm guessing the warm front is triggering it to some degree.

It wasn't quite done..

Drunk PbP should be fun.

Not sure if this has been posted- probably has but I'm a little drunk and just noticed it. Damn bourbon. King GFS? LOL

Yeah but this isnt the GFS- Its a blend, and more in touch with reality

They are a a north of Philly thing. We are losing if we depend on that shit.

Latest Blend

Its a great Imperial IPA. Enjoy! I'll be picking up a few of the Limited Release 120s tomorrow. $8.90 a bottle! So fucking good.

Makes sense since the physics based Euro model just semi-caved to the GFS.

We don't want to depend on that feature. There will be a narrow area of heavier precip, and more have nots than haves. We want.. fucking need, something close to what the GFS is advertising.

You are doing fine with the analysis. The improvements have not gone unnoticed.

That's not all it did though. As I said in my reply to your post earlier, that ball of vorticity that comes from the tail end of that vorticity ribbon(that previously was unique to the GFS) then phases back into the ribbon! IMO that impacts the character of the trough and the strength and proximity of the low to the coast.. Euro is not there quite yet so the next few runs will be very interesting.

Looking at the changes at h5 that the Euro just made- towards the GFS- IMO we should see the Euro trend more to the GFS idea the next few runs. Should be interesting

Yeah I didn't really mean nobody- more like few That's why I made the other thread.