CAPE

1.64" total. A bit more rain than I expected overnight.

Can we get rid of kickers in football? Its about time- games shouldn't be decided by one dude who cant actually play football.

The big ones are sniffed out early- which weenie rule is that again?

EPS is hinting at it- Pretty good support for the op run at that range. Classic look at the surface for a big winter storm.

1.28" Looks like its pretty much done other than some scattered brief showers.

Other than special teams lol.

Hell of a game. Stafford so clutch. MVP.

I just look at precip. Its paltry. If the snow maps suck too that means we aren't getting much of anything- no rain either.

Now that makes sense. I'm gonna deliver down there for sure.

LOL

Still not much to be excited about at the surface on the 18z Eps. Need to see some improvement over the next few model cycles. GEFS too.

18Z Euro is real close. Been incrementally moving in the right direction at h5. Compare this run to 0z.

Need to start seeing a better signal for a snow event on the mean for the 15th. Still pretty weak.

My post was referring to the 18-19th storm, but yeah I agree here.

Op run at this range, its literally noise. Upper level evolution is as impressive as it was last run. Need to see a stronger/more consistent signal on the ens mean in the next few runs. Ultimately it will be what it will be.