CAPE

Congrats NC

This definitely looks Giga

Well, we got Mega at least

Fox weather says MONSTER Nino on the way

Have fun!! It will be incredible. Did both those on a trip quite a few years ago now(jeez). Went white water rafting and did the scenic float and plenty of hiking. All great fun. The Grand Prismatic is insane. Took high res shots of that and Yellowstone Falls. Both are framed and hanging on the walls along with shots from Canaan etc.

For those interested in actual science- https://www.climate.us/

"Super" is hyperbolic. Just like monstrous, Ludicrous, or 'Godzilla' Nino. Social media silliness. Official categories for strength of Nina/Nino events are- weak, moderate, strong , and very strong.

Picked up a few hundreds overnight to push the total to 1.02". Hopefully more to come this week.

Check the radar now

Looks the like ocean/bay breeze boundary is losing its oomph. Those storms will probably weaken and dissipate as they did over here. Need another trigger.

Interpret it literally- there is an 80% chance you will get some rain- and a 20% chance you won't. Should you get some rain, amounts between a quarter and a half inch are possible.

Looks like all the action east of the bay and now just to the west is being triggered by a westward moving boundary from the Ocean/ DE bay.

Flood Watch. Over here just to my SW there is a Flash Flood Warning, but no flood watch is in effect. See the difference? Anyway, see how things evolve this evening. It will not be widespread- almost never is in these setups- but decent chance places within the watch area will need a flash flood warning.

Breeze off the DE bay doing some work over here triggering heavy rain in the area, but not in my yard at this point lol.