CAPE

Getting another line of showers after some peaks of sun. This should be it until the front moves through later.

2.45" for the week. Not bad.

That's training too. Probably a couple inches in some places if it holds together.

Everyone here maybe. Pro forecasters know the models are an imperfect tool- thus they are used as forecast guidance. If less data is available in certain regions at initialization, it will have some impact on modeled outcomes.

Bigly

Picked up 0.55" here overnight. Woke up and it was raining hard. Wasn't supposed to get much of anything until today. I guess it came early.

Sad how Alonso has been everything the Os had hoped he would be, and it has made zero difference. That speaks volumes about where this team is(or isnt).

Weird how the Os seem to be able to find ways to beat the Rays, probably the second best team in baseball.

Good luck with that fantasy lol.

Never said he wasn't dude. He is a great hitter. But this team is NOT competitive, and he might be wasting his best years here, so maybe it might be best for both parties to trade him so he can get with a winning team, make them better, give him a chance to win something, while the Os can get more young talent and continue their perpetual rebuilding mode. The sad reality. Deal with it.

Public Information Statement National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 520 PM EDT Fri Aug 21 2026 ...Storm Surveys Ongoing in portions of Delaware, northeast Maryland, and southeast Pennsylvania... The National Weather Service office in Mount Holly NJ is currently conducting storm surveys for the areas near Dover in Kent County, DE, Barclay and Marydel in Queen Anne's County, MD, and Downingtown in Chester County, PA. The survey is in relation to the severe thunderstorms that moved through the area on Thursday, August 20th, 2026. We have confirmed that at least EF-1 tornado damage, with estimated peak winds up to 105 mph, occurred with the tornado that impacted the Dover, DE area.

Well it is true that droughts can tend to be self sustaining(positive feedback loop) due to multiple factors. As for the models, I would think the physics are capable of resolving that to some degree. In places where general/long term dryness is a feature due to topography(downsloping for example) the models certainly can 'see' that- often depicting a precip min in those locales. Just ask @EastCoast NPZ

Was that his way of saying 'drought begets drought'?

As in that this team could actually contend this year? Fuck no. But the reality is at least one awful team is going to make the playoffs, which is complete crap, and one issue MLB faces right now. Stop being the NBA(making the long regular season largely meaningless), and figure out how to come up with a cap/floor to achieve some semblance of competitive balance.

Why are you here? Shocking. This isn't your thing. No digital blue showing up in the long range yet?