CAPE

There is a storm, just not for us on this run. Congrats Bob Chill

Yeah I'm out. Gotta be up in 5 hours.

I there even one? Just another useless troll.

Euro has it- 12z looked pretty damn good. 18z weaker and a bit too far south.

0z GEFS a bit drier but fine.

Its a thread the needle deal for sure, but as advertised the timing of that digging NS vorticity is such that there is surface HP in a favorable position, and just enough energy sliding underneath for potentially a moderate storm. Not buying the idea of 10", but 3-6 seems achievable.

Who the fuck is wspresto? Adds nothing of value but loves to dole out the weenies. Worthless.

Yeah there really isnt that much difference at the surface or aloft.

Hard to believe with the competition among the snow map weenies to post them lol

Op runs at range tho. See what HH EPS has.

There isnt a sharp shortwave- vorticity ribbons are streaking eastward from the upper low out west underneath upper level jet streaks. There are differences-

Da fuck you talking about?

Don't you? You're odd man.

View from the kitchen window as I make a HH Old Fashioned.