CAPE

Prime climo is a few weeks away.

The march towards summer begins after today. Sun angle season before ya know it.

Yeah that continues to be the period to keep an eye on. Various op runs have had a snow/mix event for the MA/NE the last few days. Weakish signal on the Ens runs.

All the latest extended products suggest that may be the case. Does it mean much? Probably not. The previous runs all suggested a -EPO developing by mid Jan.

LOL Stupid to call them the weeklies anymore. They should be called the dailies. Or the Euro extended, which they really are when you look at an actual map(ECMWF Ext. Ens). They haven't been a weekly product for quite awhile.

Upper 50s-low 60s on the GFS. Euro low to mid 60s. CMC keeps us in the low 40s lol.

lol Christmas shopping. I do that sitting on my arse in front of the computer with a bourbon.

Nothing to talk about until the 12z model suite comes out.

6z GEFS has the same general idea- energy ejecting eastward with confluence under the block.

6z GFS does deliver some frozen/freezing precip for end of the month period but who cares about the details this far out- keep advertising NA looks like this with a bowling ball rolling across the south and we stay interested.

Still cant rule out the potential for something towards the end of the month/early Jan with looks like this continuing to pop up on guidance. The wave doesnt dig quite enough this run, but even with a hostile Pacific, a legit NAO block can change the game and give us a shot. Just cant know yet lol.

Latest Euro weeklies continue to depict a shift from -WPO/+EPO to a -EPO heading into mid Jan, with a pretty decent NA look. The pattern becomes pretty respectable prior to that. Western US trough not as deep with a flattish PNA ridge developing by the 10th.

Snowman19 lol That thread is a train wreck. Gloom and doom. No recovering from this upcoming pattern! Days getting longer in 2 days. Summer is coming!!

Looks like low 50s for Xmas. Probably 60 or so the day after. Is what it is. Not hating it tbh.

This what we need, and exactly what Elias needed to do. STOP coveting every damn prospect and start dealing to make this team better now. The window is going to close fast with some of the core talent approaching FA, and Boros being the agent for Henderson and Westburg. Holiday too but that's further down the road.