CAPE

High of 42

I should have posted that in the other thread because most here only care about the surface- specifically snow maps. It all happens upstairs.

Disparity. Which one is closer to reality? Time will tell. A strong jet streak upstream amplifies the trough on the Euro. Not so much on the GFS.

I have 6" log outer walls- R value isnt the best but not as relevant because of the high thermal mass(heat storing capability).

lol DT. He is still relevant?

Snow has melted off the outdoor furniture, some on the roof, and on the deck. Not so much on the frozen ground. Still full coverage around 5" most places.

^lol I am agreeing with you. Will posted the Control run.

I turned my thermostat up to 70 given the relative warmth outside. Heat pump not working so hard and I dont need to start a fire to keep it from running constantly. Kinda liking this.

Yes it is the "right" map- if there is such a thing 40 fucking days out. It's the mean. He loves the Control run for some reason.

Yeah its actually 'caving" a bit to the GEFS, which hasn't been as enthusiastic about the favorable look in the NA or the western trough weakening/progressing eastward after the 20th. We shall see.

Lucky for you, this has a zero percent chance of verifying.

Yeah kinda gross. I would only eat that if he never touched it.

I would live in Boulder, but I don't make more than 150k 1.5 million.

Its definitely fancy. I would tear that up.

Not enthused about this storm potential overall, but given the 6z run and that 12z was close- it just missed a phase(occurs too late offshore) and so off the coast the primary shortwave goes without gaining enough latitude. Main takeaway even with a miss at 12z, the best physics based model we have access to thinks its cold enough to snow in much of the region given a strong LP and track to our south, at least for now.