CAPE

This was never a super serious thread lol. Ji needs a Xanax.

This is a pretty flat ass ridge- Look at the trough in the SW.. follow the height lines and ignore the colors.. Verbatim we get snow (as far south as S VA) during this period.

I got the GFS and the Euro ens giving me snow. This is serious stuff here.

A potential widespread coating of snow is no joke. Not even a troll job. You are losing it lol. Pull the plug!

ofc you are- over a single deterministic run 318 hours out. See ya next winter!

We ARE back BABY!

I'll hug the GFS to bring my third dusting in 4 days lol

We back? Dead?

Cloudy cold day. Temp 29 at 1pm

True but it does have a more impressive -NAO and suppresses the SER more than the GEFS.

We can definitely snow with this look. EPO ridge amps even more beyond this. GEFS is not bad in this window either but the SER is not quite as suppressed.

The GEPS is actually colder than the GEFS-almost all of the country has below avg temps after the 12th verbatim, but coldest out west and more like slightly below in the east. It is advertising a stronger -NAO, which seems to be the primary difference between it and the GEFS and why its colder, but also ends up with a more amped EPO ridge so probably a bit more cross Polar flow.

Euro went from this- to this-

Yeah I cant think of a single snowstorm that occurred after mid Feb.

Like nearly everything that occurs in the atmosphere, what causes a block is complex and there isnt a singe cause. Google this- "what causes an atmospheric block" I think it will help you get a better understanding.