CAPE

Nah it should be on the list. He is NJ focused, and central and esp southern Jersey had a legit snowstorm(see the link I posted with snowfall reports). There were 8-10" amounts reported in SNJ. He simply missed one, which is forgivable- his site is awesome overall.

Maybe something in the middle is possible? With a bit of luck and timing, why not a couple light to moderate events and a big coastal storm? I don't think it has to be binary. We are in uncharted waters to an extent, so who really knows? (no one)

That was in the list for 2009-10. The one I am referring to is missing. https://www.raymondcmartinjr.com/weather/

Jan 30th 2010. 5-8" storm with some locally higher amounts- more east/south including SNJ(Ray's area). Important because we hadn't had any snow since the pre Xmas Dec blizzard, Ji was was about to have a grand mal meltdown; it was a cold powder smoke job with temps in the teens; it looked like a miss south a couple days prior, and it set the stage for what was to become probably the most epic 10 day period of snow we have seen in our lifetimes. https://www.weather.gov/media/phi/StormReports/January302010.pdf

Good site, but an important snowstorm from 2009-10 is missing.

I'm not on the beach. I have missed all those blizzards too- but I usually manage to get a moderate(6-10")event at least.

Not saying its gonna go down like this (wrt HL blocking), but the last time it developed early in winter and became a sustained feature was 2009-10. Started as a Scandi h5 ridge then evolved into a legit west-based -NAO. We know what happened from there.

Well the chiggers are somewhat avoidable by staying out of high brush and the woods, although no guarantee. I don't do anything with soil this time of year, like digging/ planting anything. They become inactive once the temp gets below 60F. I wait until Fall.

They always survive cold. Think about it- some of the worst areas for mosquitoes are well north in Canada after snow melt. Right now our area is dealing with the invasive Asian tiger mosquitoes, which need very little water to continue the cycle. They are tiny and only bite during the day. Once its dark, sit outside and have a cocktail. For me they itch like crazy when they bite, but its very brief, and no welt.

Initially looked and sounded like it could be serious.

He was pretty damn good the latter half of last season. Getting off this wretched team was the best thing for him. New life. He will generally give quality starts.

If incompetent gaslighter Elias unloaded him, he will win a Cy Young. Congrats.

Nice setting there. I know its code but now that you are past all that crap, you should remove that railing on the left side of the steps. Its an eyesore. Much cleaner look without it. Removed mine on both deck stairs years ago when I replaced the steps.

Disintegrated lol

Good reason. Embrace the desert! And chase for your sanity. You are in a pretty good spot for the upcoming Nino winter where strong coastal lows are favored that will produce upslope in your area. Just hope it is cold enough lol.