CAPE

GFS is definitely the most favorable model for frozen/freezing precip our region, so you aren't wrong despite the disagreement on your post. We shall see how it all transpires in future runs.

Yeah mid 20s and pure freezing rain. I had to drive in that shit from college to home- ended up doing a 360 just a few miles from home and hit a parked car. Rare storm for here as we normally go to plain rain pretty quickly with a flow off the ocean in those setups. Surface HP to the N/NE was a beast.

They were "great" as ice storms go here as well. One(in Jan) was pure ZR- roads were an ice rink- and the other(early Feb I think) was a combo but mostly a sleet-fest. Lots of tree devastation.

Latest Euro extended(weeklies) gets to a much more favorable h5 look sooner than the previous run- trough out west completely gone for mid Jan period, replaced by a negative EPO/followed by a neutral-transitioning to positive PNA and a more impressive -NAO. Previous run-

GFS is all alone among the globals as far as sleet/snow goes in the majority of our region. Freezing rain? No interest.

Seems like I just did.

Latest GFS Ext runs have a -EPO with a west based -NAO

Nailed it.

Not much different on the mean compared to 12z. Noise. Y'all get too goddamn granular on the differences between runs. 18z is a hold.

It is literally the same as 12z for our area.

This is what we need at a minimum. A more established block /more confluence/ stronger HP to the west of the 50-50 low would be better.

Ideally yes. Lets hope. I have my doubts.

I could see maybe Monken and Orr taking the fall, and Harbaugh staying.. the owner seems to like him. All 3 should go, but esp Harbaugh and Monken for continuing to do the same stupid shit with the running game, which goes back to the AFC championship game against KC -pre Derrick Henry.

Holy fuck I want Greg Roman back

And bad coaching fucked that up. Yet Harbaugh and Monken are still employed..