CAPE

Cohen's postulation that high rate of advance of Siberian snow cover during October leads to a -AO winter has been hit or miss at best, but almost always a miss during Strong El Ninos.

Cool.

And how often does it actually snow in October(outside of a few flakes) east of the western highlands? This seems silly and irrelevant, regardless of how many times it is mentioned here.

At least the Ravens game won't be a quagmire if this comes to fruition.

About a third of an inch here. But what a shitty day to get anything done outside. The original forecast here was for showers last evening into this morning then partly to mostly cloudy the rest of today, with the main event tonight into tomorrow. Much like last weekend. Glad I took half a day yesterday- a bit warm but got some outside stuff done.

It's objectively anomalously hot today, regardless of the accuracy of the specific type of thermometer(sensor)one uses to measure the temperature. Sorry for the techy geek out.

Peak stink bug massacre day. Very warm and corn being harvested. The more I kill now the less I have to live with in winter. And its actually fun to electrocute those little bastards.

Electrical/electronic/control systems is all me. That's the stuff I teach. Are you an electrical engineer?

A bit OT, but the Maritime school I work for will likely be providing the required training for workers on offshore SMR platforms. Deploying Small Modular Reactors on floating barges allows operating companies to bypass land-use zoning restrictions and nuclear bans put in place by some states, but their position on off-shore floating platforms means all workers and vessel operations must comply with USCG requirements, and we provide training to meet those requirements.

Offshore SMRs on barges to power data centers. Waste heat rejection. We so smart.

I never pay attention to surface temp anomalies on a smoothed seasonal model. Just not realistic that a low res/LR tool can resolve something that localized. I only look at h5 to get a general idea of the big picture advertised pattern. Latter half of winter looks potentially decent as modeled. KU coming.

I'm hesitant but I think I'll go with the Vikings. Miami is so bad and they lost their best player for the season.

Who should I go with for my survivor pool pick this week? Ravens or Vikings? Both heavy favorites at home against 'bad' teams but its never that simple. Vikings have been winning despite a crappy offense, and Raven's OL is a debacle now with all the injuries, and their D still cant get off the field a lot of the time, giving up long drives that end in scores. Seattle is another option, but the Chargers are 0-3 and are desperate/due to win given they do have some actual talent.

'We just cant know yet'. Good rehearsal for winter storm tracking, even if its mostly rain.

This one probably isn't for us. It looked that way last night when I made a couple posts about it. Not much change 24 hours later. I'm not mad about it at all, but there will probably be enough moisture to be annoying here. I'll take the clouds but give me a dry weekend.