CAPE

Op runs flip flop around- its just the nature of deterministic guidance 4+ days out. Check out the 18z ens mean. Low 40s with SW flow ahead of a major cold front is exactly what is expected in mid winter. The "good" period(we hope) begins just beyond this.

Looks alike a healthy cold front approaching at the end with some snow associated with a wave along it. Sure its a bit warmish out in front as it always is in these cases, but nothing 'good' was expected until just beyond this time.

Still good!

The GFS really accentuates the downsloping 'dryness' for places east of the western highlands. That seems way overdone.

Fun ass run for a Friday HH. It will all change ofc but a clearly strong signal is there for the last week of the month.

fuck gotta do kuchera

Too zoomed in. Cant leave out the S DE jackpot

Yeah I got it now. That's Chuck's baby btw Until he makes a -PNA post then it becomes N Arlington's

Can't see precip. effin WB lol that low location looks good tho

LOL WB is so fucking slow. I'm always behind. I'll shut up.

Here we go

Lets see how much energy ejects eastward from the SW. I think that's what did it on the previous run for around the 26-27th