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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Assuming we do get that deep layer E fetch.....I not recall any big scew zones over E NE, with the exception of RI in March 2013. Still not sure what that was all about, but I doubt a recurrence. That is a high-confidence dump over a large area, precip type issues not withstanding.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Def. less impressive than 06z.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    I wouldn't worry about shit like that right now.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Reverse in relation to how it compares to previous runs.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    That is why I don't usually do PBP...it changes and trends reverse.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    The wild card is that deep layer easterly fetch....you don't need insane mid level dynamics....Dec 1992 tucked wayyyyy in near LI, occluded, and still kicked back 3-4" of QPF.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    At least with a hugger, there is less likely to be a subby hole west of the CF with that deep easterly fetch...may not even need the deformation, which would be way back west.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    That is fine, but its a stretch if nothing shows that.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Shifting of the goal posts....
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    24 hours...okay. Post the support for 48 hours of mod to heavy snow...that should be widespread 24"+ relatively evenly distributed over the course of 2 days.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think there is a decent chance of this getting near the cape....
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Discuss away the hypothetical plausibility of something that is exceedingly rare in coastal storms, and is supported by no guidance.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Its bad....even the weenie Weatherbell maps give Boston 1.7", with 4" out to 495. I can confidently say that isn't happening with that track.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Look like its getting captured off of NJ, right now....plenty of time to trend that a little further out towards the cape.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Right, but when we are getting to active times there are more novice posters around who will take it seriously...not a big deal for us, but...
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes he is. Even assuming that model is right....the second interval of 24 hours is several inches in the hardest hit areas....that is not S-S+
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Its too warm. No way I get like 2" of snow with that antecdent airmass in early Feb.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    And.....?
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Not a good run for E MA, but I think its too warm with that antecedent airmass.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Bit closer to ACK and weaker.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Tuesday night-
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm surprised that you of all people took the bait lol
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Huh?
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    He breaks out into hives anytime the heights at Miami exceed 580dm.
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