I'm going to sell that model run. Its overdoing the warmth IMO....weird. The precip algorithms make sense....they should be getting hardly precip type, issues, over an inch of QPF, yet like 8" of snow...makes zero sense.
Run was worse than I thought....with those precip rates, I would have though -2 to -3C 925 would have been good enough.
IDK, I'll take my chances with that, I think we'd do better than that. I think it overdoing the warmth.
I'm glad we are getting this arctic plunge, even though it departs ahead of the event....flushing out that marine layer with an arctic plunger is never a bad thing on the eve of a big easterly firehose.