All guidance has it not closing off at H7 until in the GOM....I think that limits the potential for major deformation banding well NW, but it could give a quick boost to NE areas of SNE on the way out.
Yet another event in which I am probably too far in one direction....could see you and scooter getting like 7", while I get like 3".
I'm at peace with it, at this point.
I guess I wasn't that unnerved by the EURO going a bit east at 00z BC I expected it, and likewise RE west shift at 06z. I don't really care about the GEM and NAM.