40/70 Benchmark

Strung out over days and days and days.

Are you looking at QPF and Dynamics? You know how these work.... rely on trends, and then if isn't there, imagine it.

Gradients at the surface are constructive, gradients aloft are destructive....same reason a hurricane gets sheared apart, despite being over bath water.

Sometimes a strong gradient is destructive for a storm because it creates high wind velocities aloft, which rip the storm apart, or at least prevent it from realizing its full potential. Ever wonder why not all waves over 84 degree SSTs blossom into major hurricanes? There are other factors, aside from the baroclinic zone to consider with respect to storm development. The ultimate irony is how sensitive intense storms are to the surrounding envt....they not only need to be fueled at the surface, but nurtured aloft.

@Typhoon Tip...take it away lol

You can set up tables with all model data like that, too.

Just realized this cool feature existed on F5 (eurowx) I really recommend that site...in addition to that and the NARCAN maps, it has the nice simulated RAD shots that are nice blog templates. I rea

May need to scale back to 12-16".

Ouch....Feb 94 did the 7-10 split right around NE lol.....yesterday north, the weekend south. Looked like 20" 1-2 punch like 5-6 days ago.

I could see that....reasonable expectations, of course.

You hate to see the rationalization of complete and total male pattern baldness. A simple bald spot on the crown would have been more tolerable....but no need for the toaster bath. Its more hygenic when you run-

There she blows

I'm sure it will start attenuating at the longitude of Memphis in reality.

Grain of salt the size of Kev's bald spot:

Hopefully Ryan posts less and pulls an exit

I wouldn't be if I thought there was a realistic shot at a major storm...I know a few others are in the same boat.

CMC was trying for Miller B for tomorrow up until about 30 minutes ago. Good luck.

I think the GEM bailing essentially removes any residual sliver of hope for the higher end solution, but 12z EURO can confirm in about an hour.

Could be worse, but that sucks...at least you're alive. More time to hallucinate high ratios into existence.

Can't wait for when you heal up and we can see more pics of you and TB skiing together in thongs....NB

Measure on TB's ball bag.

I said "worse", which it was. I did not quantify it, you did. Small changes are significant when someone is on the edge. Learn some things.

I mean....I live on the NH border, and the entire swatch of snow clearly edged bodily south..how complicated is it. Does he need a venn diagram to know that he's better off in SE CT?

Put your reading glasses on and look at the locale of the poster for perspective.

You are exactly right, and this is what distinguishes many of the pro mets from the more knowledgeable hobbyists, such as myself.