Jump to content

40/70 Benchmark

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    67,765

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    I was actually going to start that this AM, but got side tracked and forgot.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, my response if the same with respect to that.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes. Agree....this is why we can take the CP la Nina conceptualization off of the table IMO, which is good news. However, it is already basin wide, so we can't really dub it an EP event, either....not so great.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    My feelings are on the SAI is that is is a useful tool, but he doesn't use it correctly. Its but one indicator to be weighed against everything else, and predicating entire seasonal forecasts on it, as he does, is a recipe for failure.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think its relatively likely for December....PNA is more dubious, but so far....it looks like the PDO may not be as hostile as originally feared, so...
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Why do you want more of this? I find myself becoming angry over this late season humidity....
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    I wish last October's pattern remained.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    I haven't had any interesting weather since December.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Count me in....just so you all know, pants will be OFF
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    I didn't go big last season. I was around normal, but was still way off. The season before I went big.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, August didn't knock my socks off, either.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Looks like I would be near the line on that...cute fantasy.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    I may do another one on EMI (el nino modoki index), or just integrate that into the ENSO section of the actual outlook...not sure.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    It was just too tedious the other way. I feel it distracted people from the point of the whole damn exercise, which to to convey my thoughts as to how the ensuing winter will evolve. However, the guys like @HoarfrostHubb, who like the foundational material, can simply clink the link.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Here is the last one on the EPO. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2020/10/winter-2020-2021-addendum-5-east.html
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    These are just basic refreshers to get primed for the actual outlook....if you don't need it, then don't bother. I know that I usually do...especially for the tropical stuff. This should help shorten the finished product and make it more practical for consumption.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Addendum #4: The Pacific Oscillations: https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2020/10/winter-2020-2021-addendum-4-pacific.html
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Addendum #3: The Arctic Atmosphere: https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2020/10/winter-2020-2021-addendum-3-arctic.html
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    1996 was marginal...okay, but by what metric was 2001 a moderate la nina? It was weak by all accounts, as far as I'm concerned.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Looks like it will be a moderate la nina to me.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Drop a "compression of the geopotential medium" bomb and we good.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Winter Outlook 2020-2021 The Hadley Cell has expanded with a great deal of panache. Look for your dopamine elsewhere.... The end-
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    I forget some of it each offseason, TBH....as I check out. I need to go back over it, myself.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    All you will need to do is clink a link. I will be publishing a few more supplementary addendums this week. I will reference them near the onset of each section and link them.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think you make a great point TBH. like I said, format will be less tedious this season....that background stuff will be option and not baked into the outlook.
×
×
  • Create New...