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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. I've always just expected hydro issues...its not going to intensify much.
  2. Euro likes my Montauk point idea.
  3. I'm not criticizing NHC...you have to act conservatively in that position.
  4. They did in response to the trends of this past day.
  5. The NHC often is slow to react to trends in an effort to avoid overreacting and windshield wipering....there is a lag, if you will....they will drift back eastward tmw.
  6. I think things overcorrected too far to the left...its not hitting NYC.
  7. Seven weather team may end up being bunned
  8. Opposite...outflow from it is inhibiting.
  9. It doesn't mean banana hammock lol...Just no extreme threats.
  10. Yea, that is where my highest prob cone is..
  11. First Call: https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2021/08/hurricane-watch-issued-for-south-coast.html
  12. People see intense convection and prematurely ejaculate before becoming privy to the importance of internal structure and the processes (both internal and external) that dictate it.
  13. I have been saying that for the past couple of days....you probably aren't getting pristine conditions near the latitude of Hatteras, which is when it will encounter its best envt.
  14. Modoki la nina is not preferred for east coast weather fans....its the opposite of el nino, whereas modoki el nino is favorable. However, modoki la nina doesn't seem quite as hostile as east-based el nino because the forcing is usually weaker. The moral of the story is that you always want the coolest anomalies in the eastern based regions because it tends to focus convection further west, all things being equal.
  15. LOL I was just noticing that quote from me you have in your sig...I remember I made that out of frustration when the GFS pulled the rug out and a good snow event ended up a rainer. I was so pissed bc I was calling for a huge snow month, which eventually worked out, thankfully lol
  16. Post that winter outlook now bc it may be a while...
  17. There really are 45 of them...impressive and diligent troll-job.
  18. I was around 5 for Gloria...there as a lot of tree damage in my area....that was very isolated in Bob.
  19. I remember it well...completely unremarkable NW of Boston. Gloria was much more noteworthy.
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