I disagree.
I don't think that warmer interlude in mid December lasts very long. We should get a nice stretch around the holidays before it potentially goes to hell for a while after the New Year.
I would be shocked at grincher this year...snow event on xmas much more likely.
Why am I seeing these stupid posts about strong la nina?
If its dry, it will because of the very negative PDO, but la nina in terms of ONI is weak and it will be lucky to peak moderate.
I get your point, but mine is that climate change has dictated that is how snowfall is distributed now. You can point out a couple of select snowfalls in a specific quadrant of the region 40 years ago, but the reality is that snowfall is being distributed over larger events and fewer middling ordeals.
Its been like the 80s with respect to seasonal totals, but we are still getting larger dumps....like Feb 1, 2021, and Dec 2019. Ironically enough considering your pun, its the 3-6" ers that are fewer and farther between.
The whole point of starting a thread for a threat inside of 5 days is to distinguish the increasing volume of traffic relating to it from the main thread, not to imply that the storm is imminent or a lock.
I think that point is lost on a few of us.