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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. I was just thinking today how I'd like one of those air masses where the high is like 0...been a while. Wow, would the charts be flying
  2. That was one of the more overrated winters for MBY.....to a lesser degree 1993-94, too (sorry, Jerry)
  3. That could have easily happened here...damn trough just slipped too far east. There was enough cold.
  4. Sucks for Forky, not us. It's not a great pattern, but I would take that nina MJO 7 comp.
  5. Yea, I guess I didn't scrutinize it that closely considering the range.
  6. True....I guess I was speaking to the fact that EPO and NAO are more supported than PNA. I was also interpreting the se ridge as attributable to pretty strong RNA in the absence of a hostile arctic.
  7. I think we are SOL on the RNA trough not digging as much...that is pretty supported by MJO 7-Nina. The other two could work...I could see a bit more EPO or NAO.
  8. Well, close.....one of the few biggies that I did significantly better in.
  9. East-based NAO is much better for them, and vice verse with respect to west-based.
  10. Great event....one of the few that crushed my area, and proked ORH with like 5".
  11. I do.....I really like his stuff. He made an account here like a month ago.
  12. I'll bet my area only ends up with one highly anomalously warm day.
  13. I hit 17.2 last night after a hi of only 32.4 yesterday....decent cold.
  14. Another .25" for .50" on the season.
  15. I think that storm just before xmas or xmas eve is a contendah to provide a white xmas for many....NAO or not. I get that the pattern isn't pretty yet, but it doesn't have to be pretty to grab a front end couple of inches that won't wash away.
  16. @MJO812 That is a big NAO EAST on the GEFS and GEPS...big difference. That will not prevent cutters. EPS is still neutral, which I tend to favor through the new year.
  17. If we get there in December, then this is what needs to happen...don't go by the OP.
  18. No it isn't....EPO can provide some resistance and prompt a SWFE, but the mid levels would still fly west and maybe you get a triple point surface reflection to prevent torch. The EPO can provide an antecedent airmass.
  19. Why he is looking at the day 10 OP is beyond me....the impressive NAO is probably suspect to begin with.
  20. Keep in mind that climo guidance will not pick op on any SSW activity, so should that happen as I think it may, it will be good well south of here later in Feb and into March.
  21. My guess is that the author did it by state and included NY because of NYC, but still dumb. I consider NYC northern mid atl, but its iffy...I get it.
  22. That is the late band that gave me 1/4" late last night...so up to 1/2" on season.
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