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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. Yea, if you noticed....I checked out this week.....didn't care to blog on 2" in CT, a slight glaze Xmas AM, or a supposed inch or two in this area this AM. Mother nature can take the nuisance waves, sit on them and rotate.
  2. In this pattern, it isn't exciting until its within 72 hours.
  3. Yea, I'm done with everything else, at this point. Wake me when we have consensus of a warning event at 72 hours.
  4. Gotcha. Hopefully if that happens, I end up north of the gradient because I was also significantly below normal last year, while SNE was raking it in. I have been caught in the middle for several years where as I am N of the goods when SNE gets it, and S of the goods when NNE gets it.
  5. I live how he covers his ass with the "when/where" at the end.
  6. That is a perfectly viable prediction, but it's not climo. Unless you mean in a regression to the mean sense...
  7. Okay, but surely you understand why predicting "record snows" anywhere as the climatic norm is a bit confusing....its fine to predict an unfavorable outcome, but that was articulated strangely.
  8. I mean....if this is climate change, than the PNW will love the new weenie world order....hell of a way to run a warming climate out there.
  9. Well, record NNE snows with very little in SNE is not the climatic normal...more snow in NNE is.
  10. Enough with the attribution of a period of meager snowfall to climate change. It's so silly and really quite infantile. The bottom line is that it would have been difficult to get much snow in SNE during a record RNA in 1732. Climate change is very real, but it isn't why it isn't snowing right now.
  11. Had some sagging trees at home. ...hit 495 and just a nuisance trace of a glaze.
  12. Kudos gents. I will have 8 years in February and can honestly say that that decision has saved me in every way that a person can be saved. Nothing against those that drink, it works for plenty of people, but not for me. I and everyone around me is better for it. Happy Holidays.
  13. LMAO I nailed the blocking part....but missing the record breaking RNA was a death knell. I knew the season would be RNA in the mean, but though Dec would have more variability. Let's see how the season goes...its tough to get the monthly progression perfectly, but willing to bet my overall seasonal will be decent. Like last year...I missed February, but it was actually my best forecast ever in the aggregate. I stand by this year's forecast.
  14. John, there is zero doubt this particular ENSO event is well coupled with the atmosphere. I understand the HC ENSO dampening phenomenon, but this one has had very robust MEI and atmospheric foot print all along. It's no coincidence this year...its la nina. I mean, there is usually going to be SOME intraseasonal forcing variation, but this one is def not in the same ball park as the past several ENSO events. Def the most impressive event since the super el Nino and most impressive la nina since 2010-2011.
  15. Same reason NYS and W VT torch alot easier than most of NNE....CAD
  16. I was gonna say, the cold tuck piles up against the east slope of the ORH hills...not so much on the other side of the spine.
  17. Told you exactly how this would work out days ago....CT focused from Kev to Steve, nothing here.
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