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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Per my definition of it, I was right. Its going to be in the upper 30s on Xmas.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    A ratter this season would be unprecedented given the healthy episode of blocking that occurred in a la nina December. The naysayers can attempt to negate that with all of the subjective dribble that they would like, but that is simply fact. Again, there can be a first for everything, and our period of records is relatively small, but it is what it is.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    My melt was limited in scope...I'm not cancelling winter like 1717 and all of them. I'm just disgusted with December. No way we get out of this season without a very good stretch IMHO.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    The grown up egg nogg all polished off
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    Folks just need to understand that there is a seasonal lag, so on average you don't get the harshest winter weather during the solstice in the mid latitudes.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    No doubt...agree.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Nice deflection....its not about how much you value snowfall in March, the point it that March is still snowfall season, whether you like it or not.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Riddle me this....Phineas gets suspended, but we never have reprieve from this dude's dribble....show the planet where that logic is applied.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    6 weeks takes us to the climo peak of the snowfall season, early Feb....there's like another 5-6 weeks left for snowfall beyond that.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    There is plenty of time for the season...I'm speaking of December. This month is over AFAIC.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, the writing is on the wall, at this point....the verdict is in, and this month is guilty of sucking a$$ hardcore. We're onto January.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Just insult to injury....what an absolutely, positively abomination of a month. Add this one to the rusted out coat hanger Hall of Fame.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm sure if the NAO takes a break from shredding every potential snow event, it will allow the one that sneaks through to come close enough for rain....after I miss the xmas eve mojo to the southwest.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    That's why I don't get invested in that light snow around xmas...its going to pork a portion of the region, and I have a feeling it will be here. CT probably gets it.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Sorry, Jay. Hopefully you get an opportunity here. Must be why Harv bailed on WHDH.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, I'm sure that's right.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Totally agree.....regardless of ONI, this is the most impressive la nina since 2010-2011.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    ENSO ultimately always self destructs...whether it be via the walker cycle, or the MJO...this is why the opposite ENSO state is favored from year to year, all else being equal...especially for stronger events.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'll have to look back through my blogs, but I think I saw research that a SSW can excite and subsequently stagnate the MJO, and as fate had it, it end up constructively interfering with that la nina base state we have been stuck in that Hoffman alluded to. That winter was also during the blocking drought....an NAO would have changed the landscape of that somewhat.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think the SSW kind of messed things up that year, but I know what you mean.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    02-03, too, no?
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Odds are weak el nino next year, congrats New England, moderate, congrats east coast.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    @StormchaserChuck! @raindancewx What are your thoughts on this...thinking way ahead during the meteorological down time.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Sucks. I knew this would be an RNA winter in the mean, but it's about identifying the periods of volatility...I identified December with respect to the PNA, and I was wrong...right about the blocking, but the record RNA had screwed us out of this month.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    The mid atlantic forum is already 9+ pages deep into the January thread.
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