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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. Well, record NNE snows with very little in SNE is not the climatic normal...more snow in NNE is.
  2. Enough with the attribution of a period of meager snowfall to climate change. It's so silly and really quite infantile. The bottom line is that it would have been difficult to get much snow in SNE during a record RNA in 1732. Climate change is very real, but it isn't why it isn't snowing right now.
  3. Had some sagging trees at home. ...hit 495 and just a nuisance trace of a glaze.
  4. Kudos gents. I will have 8 years in February and can honestly say that that decision has saved me in every way that a person can be saved. Nothing against those that drink, it works for plenty of people, but not for me. I and everyone around me is better for it. Happy Holidays.
  5. LMAO I nailed the blocking part....but missing the record breaking RNA was a death knell. I knew the season would be RNA in the mean, but though Dec would have more variability. Let's see how the season goes...its tough to get the monthly progression perfectly, but willing to bet my overall seasonal will be decent. Like last year...I missed February, but it was actually my best forecast ever in the aggregate. I stand by this year's forecast.
  6. John, there is zero doubt this particular ENSO event is well coupled with the atmosphere. I understand the HC ENSO dampening phenomenon, but this one has had very robust MEI and atmospheric foot print all along. It's no coincidence this year...its la nina. I mean, there is usually going to be SOME intraseasonal forcing variation, but this one is def not in the same ball park as the past several ENSO events. Def the most impressive event since the super el Nino and most impressive la nina since 2010-2011.
  7. Same reason NYS and W VT torch alot easier than most of NNE....CAD
  8. I was gonna say, the cold tuck piles up against the east slope of the ORH hills...not so much on the other side of the spine.
  9. Told you exactly how this would work out days ago....CT focused from Kev to Steve, nothing here.
  10. I mean, it's not a KU pattern, but that can be a pretty good patteen up here.
  11. Of course there will be a fronto area....ORH needs to find a way into the goods.
  12. No data to back this up, but these little, sneaky deals that get pulled out of someone's rear always hit CT.
  13. You may be okay being further west..I never tuned into that. Seen this drill.
  14. I'll give you one guess which area gets skunked with that. No question whatever goodies are to be had will focus in CT.
  15. I know...sarcasm was only mild. I do appreciate your zest for meteorology in its purest and most scientific sense.
  16. Kudos to you for analyzing those subtle nuances when the choices in outcome are rain, or P. Cloudy....I just can't bring myself to do it.
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