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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Granted NAM, but I don't like seeing that as the energy is getting sampled.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Depends...I'm a social worker...I need to see people. Judging from the traffic on I93, alot more than 25 percent still commute in.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    LBN Load Blown Nowhere.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Same...looks like the western EPS members.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    Nice to have the bad trend at least interrupted a bit...I think that will continue tonight.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think @Allsnowmade that same observation....not good. Damn mid atl event is slowing...
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Will and Scott are eastern MA....not NE.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, I get it.....to be fair, though....I also think its important not to waffle in the medium range, too. The data has still yet to be sampled...I think before that take place, there is still room for subjectivity. However, that changes tomorrow. Don't forget...I never bought into the N trends on that last one....so its not just a weenie bias.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, I went out of my way to articulate how I was following my gut, while still acknowledging the alternative. I will be the first to admit than I can come off as arrogant online, but I don't think in this instance that this is the case.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Hey, if you ever honestly feel I am doing that, then I appreciate the critique. No offense taken.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Trust me man, my original stuff from November gets graded as is, but I will not hesitate to blog about how we are doomed if I see fit. And if Friday still looks like crap tomorrow, then I will change my tune.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    I haven't changed a thing with respect to my thoughts on the season. December didn't work out...I've moved on.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    I just made a first call 2 hours ago, and explicitly stated that I was nervous about it and hedging....how should I have conveyed it to sound less arrogant? What call was I arrogant about and refused to change? If this looks like shit tmw AM, my mind will change.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    It has nothing to do with that. I'm not sure what that has to do with anything....I don't control the weather.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    As is, the mid level snows are near I95.......I don't think a 75-100mi correction west if that vort gets sampled stronger is a particularly tall task.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    I see it the same way provided the initialization of that vort is correct...we should know soon.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm obviously nervous and can see how this can end up a nuisance...but more often than not, the wild convective goose changes end up more fact than fiction. Maybe it will work out like that this time....we should know in just under 24 hours, maybe even tonight.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Great visual to illustrate how your sense of humor usually lands with the majority of the forum.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, all of the ensembles deal with the same ingest...if they all are underestimating the vort, then it shouldn't be a surprise. If it still looks like this in 24 hours, okay....but I have a hunch those 970s on the western end of the envelop may gain more credence.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    We'll probably be high fiving online at 115am tonight.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    About 40oz of my first call
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    I know the clown maps are 2-4", but I think it would be a little more than that...like 3-6".
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Its a little better here...the early reads are so dramatic.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Need to see H7 and ensembles....
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    Slow, timed release through seat of pants
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