40/70 Benchmark

https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2022/01/blizzard-of-22-verification.html Blizzard of '22 Verification Solid Effort with Mixed Results In the lead up to the Blizzard of '22, the primary question pertaining to the evolution of the storm was the degree to which the descent of arctic air into the region would cause the storm to deflect to the east and chase convection over the ocean. Thus it was this crucial question that represented the focus of Friday's Final Call. Eastern Mass Weather postulated that the heaviest snows would fall in two primary bands. The first being associated with the mid level deformation over east central Mass down into Eastern Connecticut: This area of very heavy snowfall was the result of mid level convergence due to both the changing of wind direction and speed: And a steep temperature differential: As evidenced by the relative humidity fields (moisture) in the mid levels of the atmosphere: This culmination of factors in the mid levels of the atmosphere was forecast to result in the intense lift necessary to produce excessive snowfall rates of up to 2 to even as much as 6" per hour an isolated areas: While this idea worked out for the most part, the area of intense lift transferred to the coast, instead of extending into north central and interior NE Mass, as forecast. Thus the heaviest snows materialized over eastern CT: Before relocating to southeastern Mass and coastal eastern Mass. This caused the heaviest snows, from about 24-30", to shift from the forecast primary area of focus for heavy banding, across the interior, to the secondary area along the coast: This subsequently became the primary focus for the heaviest mesoscale banding that was originally forecast to translate across Worcester county and interior NE Mass. Ultimately, towards the latter stage of the storm on Saturday evening, the forecast area of deformation banding across the interior did materialize, producing a secondary somewhat lesser maxima of up to about 18". However, this was too late to reach the forecast amounts of 18-30" in this area, which ended up occurring over southeast Mass in association with the coastal area of deformation. Final Snowfall Accumulations: vs Final Call: & First Call: Final Grade: B-

Seems to jive..thanks.

@Torch TigerWhat was your final total? You are another one I trust not to overmeasure

Both of your measurements makes sense to me. @TheBudMan I could see you getting 2-3" more than my sister in e Wilmington because RAD clearly shows the west end of that band got you.

Just bc it wasn't historic in our BYs, doesn't mean it wasn't historic for other areas....it certainly was.

I had like 21"..there were dual events IIRC..

Wife not so much...son has never seen it. Seems like daughter may have a bit of an interest...they are so young, yet...

Yea, you and ORH will get 2', and I'll get a 1/2" of slush

I would like one simple, 2-3"QPF bomb with 10:1 ratios to track over the cape with seasonable cold in place...all I ask. No dumbbell this, boobs that, substinence here, convections chasers bleh.

Yea, this was the deal between Methuen and Wilmington, but drifts were more like 14".

I don't mind it TBH....the time spent blogging/snowfall ratio has been excruciating this season...with the family returning on Wednesday, I would not mind a non event.

I got you next GTG. Nice job

@TauntonBlizzard2013What was your peak storm depth? I got 31" in the deformation area on March 14, 2018, and my peak depth was 25".

Here are my thoughts....I feel like some people in interior NE MA are measuring in drifts. I just drove down to my sister's, near the N Reading line in eastern Wilmington, and the avg depth was 10-11". My current average depth is 8-9", settled down from 10-11" last night. I am confident that I had about 12" of total snowfall, and Wilmington had about 14", and really do not care to argue the point. Will do a full post-storm write up later.

Well, I get that you are saying, but its usually not THIS bad....these past four seasons have been thing short of brutal. Again, I understand our area will seldom jackpot in the largest events, but there is a difference between not jackpotting and what has gone on these past 4 years....that has nothing to do with not sniffing climo snowfall since March 2018. However, I will be moving back a bit closer to the coast in a 2-3 years....I am originally from Wilmington-

Reality is that he forecast me for 24"+, and I got 12". I'm not sure how he didn't realize that there would be exhaust west of the coast in this...no brianer. I was telling everyone on here that for days. The trick was determining where and to what extent the secondary more interior band would be, and that is where I struggled.

I was disappointed with Harvey. All he did was cover all of e MA with 24"+...how hard is that? Take a shot at the banding...you make 2 million per year. Then, once it became apparent my area was porked, he did what I said he would...just dragged a 1-2' down to 128. Pedestrian effort.

I think I'm out on the rest of this year, as far as my usual frantic pace, unless something really good looks imminent within days. Still do the blog and everything, but not sure I have that same level of investment in me again until next fall. I honestly don't even care to track the next one.

It was worse than both because I screwed the most here. This goes with 12/5/2003 and PD II as my all time largest disappointments.

Ever since I moved up here from Wilmington, it's done nothing but snow more there. I remember saying to Will that it looked to me like Wilmington could get it, while I miss..and he said it would be tough bc its gonna orient north to south. Well, we pulled it off Just brutal

There is nothing I detest more than arctic subsidence....bands just pinned to 128. Gag me

Yea, my sister in Wilmington said 18"...I'm beside myself. Going there to measure tomorrow.

The latter.

Well, you would fit right in with me. Lol Hang out here more often haha

That's what I thought...TBH, I would have rather that, than missing 30" by 15mi, but I still would have complained.